--- title: "Mix case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Mix ($255.03) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mix rendered: 2026-11-11T19:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Mix](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mix) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Mix A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mix?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mix?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mix) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mix?window=all) Price · $255.03 · 510 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $229.53 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mix?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mix?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mix) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mix?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 100 | $2,023 4,047 coins | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,263 2,526 coins | 11.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,252 2,504 coins | 10.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Diamondback (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-diamondback-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $696 1,392 coins | 12.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $501 1,002 coins | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 11 | $361 721 coins | 14.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $270 541 coins | 10.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $261 522 coins | 10.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 60.0% | $51.39 103 coins | 13.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=mix) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $255 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 72.0% extraordinary 6.0% Covert 4.0% covert knife 9.0% restricted 9.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. 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