--- title: "Money Rush case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Money Rush ($40.25) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 12 items with odds, observed 69.61% over 38 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/money-rush rendered: 2026-11-11T14:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Money Rush](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/money-rush) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Money Rush A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/money-rush?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/money-rush?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/money-rush) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/money-rush?window=all) Price · $40.25 · 80.5 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $36.22 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 69.61% · 38 openings, odds method Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 76.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 38 openings · below min 30 days · 38 openings · below min since tracking started · 38 openings · below min 19.5% 69.8% 120.0% **Small sample.** 38 openings and 3.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/money-rush?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/money-rush?window=7d) | 38 | 69.61% ±49.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/money-rush) | 38 | 69.61% ±49.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/money-rush?window=all) | 38 | 69.61% ±49.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 38 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ursus-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $251 503 coins | 13.9% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $235 470 coins | 13.0% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Charm \| Titeenium AWP charm · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-titeenium-awp) | 1 in 50 | $226 451 coins | 12.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $182 365 coins | 12.6% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Graven (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · SMGs](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-graven-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $99.36 199 coins | 9.6% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.50× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Orion (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-orion-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $92.49 185 coins | 8.9% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $70.66 141 coins | 7.8% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× | | [Souvenir R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $51.63 103 coins | 5.7% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.97× | | [M4A4 \| Desert Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $34.17 68.34 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $21.41 42.82 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× | | [P90 \| Leather (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-leather-factory-new) | 10.0% | $12.83 25.65 coins | 3.5% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.79× | | [M4A4 \| Griffin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-factory-new) | 57.5% | $3.54 7.07 coins | 5.6% | 26 | 21.8 | 1.19× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=money-rush) [M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-factory-new) Hidden $40.25 80.5 coins $3.54 7.07 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 12:53 UTC [P90 | Leather (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-leather-factory-new) Hidden $40.25 80.5 coins $12.83 25.65 coins 0.32x 2026-11-10 12:53 UTC [M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-factory-new) Hidden $40.25 80.5 coins $3.54 7.07 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 12:53 UTC [M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-factory-new) Hidden $40.25 80.5 coins $3.54 7.07 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 12:53 UTC [M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-factory-new) Hidden $40.25 80.5 coins $3.54 7.07 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 12:53 UTC [M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-factory-new) [rekztimmy](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/rekztimmy) $40.25 80.5 coins $3.54 7.07 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 12:53 UTC [M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-factory-new) Hidden $40.25 80.5 coins $3.54 7.07 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 12:53 UTC [M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-factory-new) Hidden $40.25 80.5 coins $3.54 7.07 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 12:53 UTC [★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-factory-new) Hidden $40.25 80.5 coins $182 365 coins 4.53x 2026-11-10 12:52 UTC [M4A4 | Griffin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-factory-new) Hidden $40.25 80.5 coins $3.54 7.07 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 12:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $40.25 | 89.99% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 4.0% Legendary 2.0% extraordinary 6.5% SMGs 3.5% #d32ee6 3.5% Classified 4.0% industrial 14.5% classified 4.5% restricted 57.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt