--- title: "Moon 1% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Moon 1% ($0.75) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 50.61% over 850 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/moon-1 rendered: 2026-11-12T03:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Moon 1%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/moon-1) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Moon 1% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/moon-1?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/moon-1?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/moon-1) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/moon-1?window=all) Price · $0.75 · 1.49 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 50.61% · 850 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 172 openings · below min 7 days · 850 openings · below min 30 days · 850 openings · below min since tracking started · 850 openings · below min -0.5% 50.5% 101.5% **Small sample.** 850 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/moon-1?window=24h) | 172 | 42.63% ±58.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/moon-1?window=7d) | 850 | 50.61% ±47.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/moon-1) | 850 | 50.61% ±47.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/moon-1?window=all) | 850 | 50.61% ±47.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Falchion Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-autotronic-field-tested) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $0.74 1.49 coins $131 262 coins 176.1x 2026-11-10 22:45 UTC [M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) Hidden $0.74 1.49 coins $50.58 101 coins 67.89x 2026-11-10 22:46 UTC [M4A1-S | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $0.74 1.49 coins $50.58 101 coins 67.89x 2026-11-10 22:42 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=moon-1) [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $0.74 1.49 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $0.74 1.49 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $0.74 1.49 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $0.74 1.49 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $0.74 1.49 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $0.74 1.49 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $0.74 1.49 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) [aklaiszarins](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/aklaiszarins) $0.74 1.49 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $0.74 1.49 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) Hidden $0.74 1.49 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $131 (176.1x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 50.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $50.61 on average: an expected loss of $49.39 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt