--- title: "Moto Man case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Moto Man ($5,907.18) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/moto-man rendered: 2026-11-11T18:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Moto Man](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/moto-man) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Moto Man A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/moto-man?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/moto-man?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/moto-man) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/moto-man?window=all) Price · $5,907.18 · 11,814 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $5,316.46 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 45.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 55.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/moto-man?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/moto-man?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/moto-man) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/moto-man?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-factory-new) | 45.0% | $11.7K 23,410 coins | 99.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $227 454 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $206 413 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $201 402 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-mudder-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $188 376 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-fennec-fox-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $132 264 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $10.06 20.12 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $8.80 17.59 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $6.14 12.28 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Night (Field-Tested) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $5.81 11.61 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.72 1.45 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $0.70 1.41 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=moto-man) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $5,907 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 45.0% restricted 15.0% pink 5.0% Industrial 5.0% classified 10.0% mil spec 10.0% light blue 5.0% blue 5.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt