--- title: "Mountains case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Mountains ($145.68) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 14 items with odds, observed 95.44% over 26 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mountains rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Mountains](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mountains) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Mountains A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mountains?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mountains?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mountains) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mountains?window=all) Price · $145.68 · 291 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $131.11 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 95.44% · 26 openings, odds method Variance · 6.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 26 openings · below min 30 days · 26 openings · below min since tracking started · 26 openings · below min 0.5% 95.5% 190.5% **Small sample.** 26 openings and 2.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mountains?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mountains?window=7d) | 26 | 95.44% ±94.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mountains) | 26 | 95.44% ±94.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/mountains?window=all) | 26 | 95.44% ±94.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 26 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Charm \| Baby Karat T charm · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-baby-karat-t) | 1 in 100 | $3,485 6,970 coins | 26.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Charm \| Lil' Monster charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-monster) | 1 in 50 | $606 1,211 coins | 9.2% | 2 | 0.5 | — | | [Charm \| Lil' Sandy charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sandy) | 1 in 50 | $530 1,060 coins | 8.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $271 542 coins | 8.3% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $254 508 coins | 7.7% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.92× | | [Charm \| Hot Sauce charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-sauce) | 1 in 13 | $139 278 coins | 8.5% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $130 260 coins | 7.9% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.92× | | [Charm \| POP Art charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pop-art) | 1 in 13 | $125 250 coins | 7.6% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.96× | | [Five-SeveN \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-factory-new) | 10.0% | $56.39 113 coins | 4.3% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.15× | | [Souvenir Five-SeveN \| Fall Hazard (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-fall-hazard-well-worn) | 10.0% | $51.70 103 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× | | [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 10.0% | $49.36 98.71 coins | 3.8% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.77× | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) weapon · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 10.0% | $44.32 88.63 coins | 3.4% | 4 | 2.6 | 1.54× | | [SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-factory-new) | 10.0% | $7.14 14.27 coins | 0.5% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.38× | | [G3SG1 \| Azure Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-azure-zebra-factory-new) | 13.0% | $1.01 2.02 coins | 0.1% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.18× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Charm | Lil' Monster charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-monster) Hidden $146 291 coins $606 1,211 coins 4.16x 2026-11-06 16:28 UTC [Charm | Lil' Monster charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-monster) Hidden $146 291 coins $606 1,211 coins 4.16x 2026-11-06 16:28 UTC [Charm | Lil' Sandy charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-sandy) Hidden $146 291 coins $530 1,060 coins 3.64x 2026-11-06 16:28 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=mountains) [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) weapon · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $146 291 coins $44.32 88.63 coins 0.30x 2026-11-09 01:33 UTC [G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-azure-zebra-factory-new) Hidden $146 291 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-09 01:33 UTC [Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) weapon · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $146 291 coins $44.32 88.63 coins 0.30x 2026-11-09 01:33 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-field-tested) Hidden $146 291 coins $130 260 coins 0.89x 2026-11-09 01:33 UTC [Charm | Hot Sauce charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hot-sauce) Hidden $146 291 coins $139 278 coins 0.95x 2026-11-09 01:33 UTC [Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) Hidden $146 291 coins $49.36 98.71 coins 0.34x 2026-11-09 01:33 UTC [G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-azure-zebra-factory-new) Hidden $146 291 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-08 10:12 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) Hidden $146 291 coins $254 508 coins 1.74x 2026-11-08 10:12 UTC [G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-azure-zebra-factory-new) Hidden $146 291 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.01x 2026-11-08 10:12 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-field-tested) Hidden $146 291 coins $130 260 coins 0.89x 2026-11-08 10:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $146 | 90.00% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #eb4b4b 1.0% uncommon 12.0% covert 28.0% #ffd700 8.0% #8847ff 8.0% Industrial Grade 10.0% classified 10.0% restricted 10.0% mil spec 13.0% best hit $606 (4.16x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt