--- title: "MY NEW TOASTER case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "MY NEW TOASTER ($21.88) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 140.95% over 242 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/my-new-toaster rendered: 2026-11-12T05:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [MY NEW TOASTER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/my-new-toaster) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · MY NEW TOASTER A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/my-new-toaster?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/my-new-toaster?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/my-new-toaster) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/my-new-toaster?window=all) Price · $21.88 · 43.75 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 140.95% · 242 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 230 openings · below min 30 days · 242 openings · below min since tracking started · 242 openings · below min 52.5% 144.3% 236.0% **Small sample.** 242 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/my-new-toaster?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/my-new-toaster?window=7d) | 230 | 144.20% ±91.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/my-new-toaster) | 242 | 140.95% ±86.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/my-new-toaster?window=all) | 242 | 140.95% ±86.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) Hidden $21.88 43.75 coins $1,788 3,577 coins 81.76x 2026-11-08 01:02 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $21.88 43.75 coins $873 1,745 coins 39.89x 2026-11-08 01:04 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $21.88 43.75 coins $506 1,012 coins 23.12x 2026-11-08 01:44 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $21.88 43.75 coins $506 1,012 coins 23.12x 2026-11-08 01:41 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $21.88 43.75 coins $506 1,012 coins 23.12x 2026-11-08 01:08 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $21.88 43.75 coins $506 1,012 coins 23.12x 2026-11-08 01:06 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $21.88 43.75 coins $506 1,012 coins 23.12x 2026-11-08 00:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=my-new-toaster) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $21.88 43.75 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 01:45 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $21.88 43.75 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 01:45 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $21.88 43.75 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 01:45 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $21.88 43.75 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 01:45 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $21.88 43.75 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 01:45 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $21.88 43.75 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 01:45 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $21.88 43.75 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 01:45 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $21.88 43.75 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 01:45 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $21.88 43.75 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 01:44 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $21.88 43.75 coins $506 1,012 coins 23.12x 2026-11-08 01:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,788 (81.76x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 141.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $140.95 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt