--- title: "neon rebellion case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "neon rebellion ($22.19) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 72.58% over 44 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/neon-rebellion rendered: 2026-11-12T04:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [neon rebellion](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/neon-rebellion) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · neon rebellion A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/neon-rebellion?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/neon-rebellion?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/neon-rebellion) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/neon-rebellion?window=all) Price · $22.19 · 44.37 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 72.58% · 44 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 28 openings · below min 7 days · 44 openings · below min 30 days · 44 openings · below min since tracking started · 44 openings · below min 22.0% 94.8% 167.5% **Small sample.** 44 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/neon-rebellion?window=24h) | 28 | 94.62% ±72.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/neon-rebellion?window=7d) | 44 | 72.58% ±47.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/neon-rebellion) | 44 | 72.58% ±47.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/neon-rebellion?window=all) | 44 | 72.58% ±47.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=neon-rebellion) [MP7 | Neon Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-neon-ply-field-tested) Hidden $22.19 44.37 coins $0.94 1.87 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 02:15 UTC [MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) Hidden $22.19 44.37 coins $7.07 14.13 coins 0.32x 2026-11-12 02:15 UTC [MP7 | Neon Ply (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-neon-ply-factory-new) Hidden $22.19 44.37 coins $3.82 7.63 coins 0.17x 2026-11-12 02:15 UTC [MP7 | Neon Ply (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-neon-ply-factory-new) Hidden $22.19 44.37 coins $3.82 7.63 coins 0.17x 2026-11-12 02:15 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) Hidden $22.19 44.37 coins $9.27 18.53 coins 0.42x 2026-11-12 02:15 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) [fficient](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/fficient) $22.19 44.37 coins $115 231 coins 5.20x 2026-11-12 02:15 UTC [MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-minimal-wear) Hidden $22.19 44.37 coins $4.78 9.55 coins 0.22x 2026-11-12 02:14 UTC [MP7 | Neon Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-neon-ply-field-tested) Hidden $22.19 44.37 coins $0.94 1.87 coins 0.04x 2026-11-12 02:14 UTC [MP7 | Neon Ply (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-neon-ply-factory-new) Hidden $22.19 44.37 coins $3.82 7.63 coins 0.17x 2026-11-12 02:14 UTC [MP7 | Neon Ply (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-neon-ply-factory-new) Hidden $22.19 44.37 coins $3.82 7.63 coins 0.17x 2026-11-12 02:14 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 72.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $72.58 on average: an expected loss of $27.42 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt