--- title: "nga stfu case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "nga stfu ($50.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 40.78% over 428 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/nga-stfu rendered: 2026-11-12T06:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [nga stfu](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/nga-stfu) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · nga stfu A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/nga-stfu?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/nga-stfu?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/nga-stfu) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/nga-stfu?window=all) Price · $50.00 · 100 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 40.78% · 428 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 428 openings · below min 30 days · 428 openings · below min since tracking started · 428 openings · below min 7.5% 40.8% 74.0% **Small sample.** 428 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/nga-stfu?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/nga-stfu?window=7d) | 428 | 40.78% ±32.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/nga-stfu) | 428 | 40.78% ±32.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/nga-stfu?window=all) | 428 | 40.78% ±32.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [apiu52](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/apiu52) $50.00 100 coins $1,814 3,629 coins 36.29x 2026-11-05 16:12 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $1,552 3,105 coins 31.05x 2026-11-05 16:12 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-night-factory-new) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $1,461 2,922 coins 29.22x 2026-11-05 16:10 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $1,365 2,729 coins 27.29x 2026-11-05 16:12 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) Hidden $50.00 100 coins $1,266 2,533 coins 25.33x 2026-11-05 16:14 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Desert Hydra (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-field-tested) [apiu52](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/apiu52) $50.00 100 coins $1,266 2,533 coins 25.33x 2026-11-05 16:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=nga-stfu) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 09:48 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 09:48 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 09:48 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 09:48 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 09:48 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 09:48 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 09:48 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [nigxoo](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/nigxoo) $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 09:48 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 01:47 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $50.00 100 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 01:47 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,814 (36.29x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 40.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $40.78 on average: an expected loss of $59.22 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt