--- title: "ngasonly case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "ngasonly ($185.16) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 69.88% over 532 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ngasonly rendered: 2026-11-12T07:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [ngasonly](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ngasonly) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · ngasonly A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ngasonly?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ngasonly?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ngasonly) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ngasonly?window=all) Price · $185.16 · 370 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 69.88% · 532 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 424 openings · below min 30 days · 532 openings · below min since tracking started · 532 openings · below min 41.0% 76.8% 112.5% **Small sample.** 532 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ngasonly?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ngasonly?window=7d) | 424 | 76.68% ±35.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ngasonly) | 532 | 69.88% ±28.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ngasonly?window=all) | 532 | 69.88% ±28.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $185 370 coins $7,714 15,428 coins 41.66x 2026-11-08 00:10 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $185 370 coins $6,321 12,641 coins 34.14x 2026-11-08 00:07 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $185 370 coins $6,321 12,641 coins 34.14x 2026-11-08 00:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $185 370 coins $5,754 11,508 coins 31.08x 2026-11-05 08:42 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $185 370 coins $1,448 2,897 coins 7.82x 2026-11-08 01:36 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $185 370 coins $1,448 2,897 coins 7.82x 2026-11-05 08:30 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $185 370 coins $1,448 2,897 coins 7.82x 2026-11-04 10:24 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $185 370 coins $1,448 2,897 coins 7.82x 2026-11-04 09:51 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $185 370 coins $1,429 2,858 coins 7.72x 2026-11-11 03:40 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $185 370 coins $1,429 2,858 coins 7.72x 2026-11-08 01:36 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=ngasonly) [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $185 370 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:40 UTC [★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $185 370 coins $1,429 2,858 coins 7.72x 2026-11-11 03:40 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $185 370 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:40 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $185 370 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:40 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $185 370 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:40 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) [Rhy](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Rhy) $185 370 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 03:40 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $185 370 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:05 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $185 370 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:05 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $185 370 coins $701 1,401 coins 3.78x 2026-11-10 23:05 UTC [AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-factory-new) Hidden $185 370 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $7,714 (41.66x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 69.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $69.88 on average: an expected loss of $30.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt