--- title: "No Scope case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "No Scope ($49.99) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 9 items with odds, observed 81.66% over 90 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/no-scope rendered: 2026-11-11T13:37Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [No Scope](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/no-scope) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · No Scope A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/no-scope?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/no-scope?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/no-scope) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/no-scope?window=all) Price · $49.99 · 99.97 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $44.98 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.66% · 90 openings, odds method Variance · 6.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 72.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 78 openings · below min 30 days · 90 openings · below min since tracking started · 90 openings · below min 26.5% 82.0% 137.5% **Small sample.** 90 openings and 9.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/no-scope?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/no-scope?window=7d) | 78 | 81.94% ±55.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/no-scope) | 90 | 81.66% ±51.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/no-scope?window=all) | 90 | 81.66% ±51.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 90 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $1,788 3,577 coins | 11.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $557 1,113 coins | 12.4% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $259 519 coins | 17.3% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.74× | | [AWP \| Doodle Lore (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-doodle-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $156 312 coins | 20.8% | 6 | 5.4 | 1.11× | | [AWP \| Graphite (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $112 224 coins | 17.4% | 8 | 6.3 | 1.27× | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 10.0% | $52.31 105 coins | 11.6% | 8 | 9.0 | 0.89× | | [SSG 08 \| Detour (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-field-tested) | 21.0% | $6.21 12.42 coins | 2.9% | 21 | 18.9 | 1.11× | | [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 21.7% | $5.43 10.86 coins | 2.6% | 20 | 19.5 | 1.02× | | [SCAR-20 \| Storm (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-storm-factory-new) | 30.0% | $4.53 9.05 coins | 3.0% | 24 | 27.0 | 0.89× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) Hidden $49.99 99.97 coins $557 1,113 coins 11.14x 2026-11-09 17:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=no-scope) [AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) Hidden $49.99 99.97 coins $52.31 105 coins 1.05x 2026-11-09 18:34 UTC [SCAR-20 | Storm (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-storm-factory-new) Hidden $49.99 99.97 coins $4.53 9.05 coins 0.09x 2026-11-09 18:34 UTC [AWP | Graphite (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-factory-new) Hidden $49.99 99.97 coins $112 224 coins 2.24x 2026-11-09 18:34 UTC [SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) [Greg](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Greg) $49.99 99.97 coins $5.43 10.86 coins 0.11x 2026-11-09 18:34 UTC [SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) Hidden $49.99 99.97 coins $5.43 10.86 coins 0.11x 2026-11-09 18:34 UTC [AWP | BOOM (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-factory-new) Hidden $49.99 99.97 coins $259 519 coins 5.19x 2026-11-09 18:34 UTC [SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) Hidden $49.99 99.97 coins $5.43 10.86 coins 0.11x 2026-11-09 18:34 UTC [SCAR-20 | Storm (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-storm-factory-new) Hidden $49.99 99.97 coins $4.53 9.05 coins 0.09x 2026-11-09 18:34 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) Hidden $49.99 99.97 coins $557 1,113 coins 11.14x 2026-11-09 17:59 UTC [SSG 08 | Detour (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-field-tested) Hidden $49.99 99.97 coins $6.21 12.42 coins 0.12x 2026-11-09 17:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $49.99 | 90.00% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 10.3% Classified 1.0% classified 31.7% other 6.0% mil spec 21.0% Consumer Grade 30.0% best hit $557 (11.14x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt