--- title: "Ocean Drift case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Ocean Drift ($29.43) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 8 items with odds, observed 62.08% over 20 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ocean-drift rendered: 2026-11-11T17:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Ocean Drift](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ocean-drift) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Ocean Drift A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ocean-drift?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ocean-drift?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ocean-drift) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ocean-drift?window=all) Price · $29.43 · 58.86 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $26.48 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 62.08% · 20 openings, odds method Variance · 5.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 20 openings · below min since tracking started · 20 openings · below min -0.5% 99.0% 198.5% **Small sample.** 20 openings and 1.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ocean-drift?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ocean-drift?window=7d) | 12 | 69.64% ±128.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ocean-drift) | 20 | 62.08% ±99.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ocean-drift?window=all) | 20 | 62.08% ±99.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $304 607 coins | 28.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $252 504 coins | 28.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $99.37 199 coins | 18.8% | 2 | 1.0 | 2.00× | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $93.95 188 coins | 17.7% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× | | [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 10.0% | $12.42 24.83 coins | 4.7% | 5 | 2.0 | 2.50× | | [MP7 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 15.0% | $2.46 4.92 coins | 1.4% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.33× | | [MAC-10 \| Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.18 0.36 coins | 0.1% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.75× | | [P2000 \| Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-field-tested) | 39.5% | $0.06 0.11 coins | 0.1% | 5 | 7.9 | 0.63× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=ocean-drift) [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) Hidden $29.43 58.86 coins $12.42 24.83 coins 0.42x 2026-11-06 19:48 UTC [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) Hidden $29.43 58.86 coins $12.42 24.83 coins 0.42x 2026-11-06 19:48 UTC [P2000 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-field-tested) Hidden $29.43 58.86 coins $0.06 0.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 19:48 UTC [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) Hidden $29.43 58.86 coins $93.95 188 coins 3.19x 2026-11-06 19:48 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-factory-new) Hidden $29.43 58.86 coins $0.18 0.36 coins 0.01x 2026-11-06 19:48 UTC [MP7 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-ocean-foam-factory-new) [justsan](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/justsan) $29.43 58.86 coins $2.46 4.92 coins 0.08x 2026-11-06 19:48 UTC [P2000 | Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-field-tested) Hidden $29.43 58.86 coins $0.06 0.11 coins 0.00x 2026-11-05 02:15 UTC [P2000 | Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) Hidden $29.43 58.86 coins $99.37 199 coins 3.38x 2026-11-05 02:15 UTC [MAC-10 | Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-factory-new) Hidden $29.43 58.86 coins $0.18 0.36 coins 0.01x 2026-11-05 02:15 UTC [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) Hidden $29.43 58.86 coins $12.42 24.83 coins 0.42x 2026-11-05 02:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $29.43 | 89.99% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 17.5% classified 8.0% restricted 15.0% #4b69ff 20.0% mil spec 39.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt