--- title: "One Tap case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "One Tap ($2.67) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 9 items with odds, observed 83.77% over 4,232 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/one-tap rendered: 2026-11-11T15:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [One Tap](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/one-tap) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · One Tap A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/one-tap?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/one-tap?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/one-tap) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/one-tap?window=all) Price · $2.67 · 5.34 coins Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $2.40 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 83.77% · 4,232 openings, odds method Variance · 10.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 98.94% ±37.63 294 openings 7 days · 84.81% ±11.10 3,379 openings 30 days · 83.77% ±9.92 4,232 openings since tracking started · 83.77% ±9.92 4,232 openings 60.5% 98.8% 137.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/one-tap?window=24h) | 294 | 98.94% ±37.6 | +0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/one-tap?window=7d) | 3,379 | 84.81% ±11.1 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/one-tap) | 4,232 | 83.77% ±9.92 | −1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/one-tap?window=all) | 4,232 | 83.77% ±9.92 | −1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,232 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $151 302 coins | 9.4% | 9 | 6.3 | 1.42× | | [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $30.12 60.24 coins | 31.3% | 81 | 105.8 | 0.77× | | [SG 553 \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $25.16 50.31 coins | 26.2% | 101 | 105.8 | 0.95× | | [Five-SeveN \| Nitro (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-nitro-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $20.14 40.27 coins | 21.0% | 94 | 105.8 | 0.89× | | [G3SG1 \| Azure Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-azure-zebra-factory-new) | 12.3% | $1.01 2.02 coins | 5.2% | 513 | 522.7 | 0.98× | | [UMP-45 \| Full Stop (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.65 1.3 coins | 5.4% | 862 | 846.4 | 1.02× | | [SCAR-20 \| Poultrygeist (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-poultrygeist-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.10 0.2 coins | 0.8% | 858 | 846.4 | 1.01× | | [FAMAS \| Crypsis (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.07 0.15 coins | 0.6% | 877 | 846.4 | 1.04× | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 20.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 837 | 846.4 | 0.99× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) [Cupcake](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Cupcake) $2.67 5.34 coins $151 302 coins 56.54x 2026-11-10 23:59 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $2.67 5.34 coins $151 302 coins 56.54x 2026-11-09 22:46 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $2.67 5.34 coins $151 302 coins 56.54x 2026-11-09 22:46 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $2.67 5.34 coins $151 302 coins 56.54x 2026-11-09 21:05 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $2.67 5.34 coins $151 302 coins 56.54x 2026-11-08 18:47 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $2.67 5.34 coins $151 302 coins 56.54x 2026-11-06 19:21 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $2.67 5.34 coins $151 302 coins 56.54x 2026-11-06 02:39 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $2.67 5.34 coins $151 302 coins 56.54x 2026-11-05 12:03 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $2.67 5.34 coins $151 302 coins 56.54x 2026-11-05 12:03 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $2.67 5.34 coins $151 302 coins 56.54x 2026-11-04 18:45 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=one-tap) [SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-poultrygeist-factory-new) Hidden $2.67 5.34 coins $0.10 0.2 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [FAMAS | Crypsis (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-field-tested) Hidden $2.67 5.34 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-azure-zebra-factory-new) Hidden $2.67 5.34 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.38x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-field-tested) [conR](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/conR) $2.67 5.34 coins $30.12 60.24 coins 11.28x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-azure-zebra-factory-new) Hidden $2.67 5.34 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.38x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [FAMAS | Crypsis (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-field-tested) Hidden $2.67 5.34 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-azure-zebra-factory-new) Hidden $2.67 5.34 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.38x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-factory-new) [conR](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/conR) $2.67 5.34 coins $25.16 50.31 coins 9.42x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [UMP-45 | Full Stop (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-factory-new) Hidden $2.67 5.34 coins $0.65 1.3 coins 0.24x 2026-11-11 14:14 UTC [FAMAS | Crypsis (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-field-tested) [Crickzz1](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Crickzz1) $2.67 5.34 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:14 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $2.67 | 89.98% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 0.1% #8847ff 2.5% Rare 2.5% mil spec 34.9% #4b69ff 40.0% blue 20.0% best hit $151 (56.54x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt