--- title: "_open_ case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "_open_ ($4.12) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 32.52% over 340 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/open rendered: 2026-11-12T13:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [\_open\_](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/open) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · \_open\_ A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/open?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/open?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/open) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/open?window=all) Price · $4.12 · 8.24 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 32.52% · 340 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 332 openings · below min 30 days · 340 openings · below min since tracking started · 340 openings · below min -0.5% 44.3% 89.0% **Small sample.** 340 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/open?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/open?window=7d) | 332 | 33.30% ±55.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/open) | 340 | 32.52% ±53.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/open?window=all) | 340 | 32.52% ±53.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $4.12 8.24 coins $384 767 coins 93.11x 2026-11-05 21:23 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=open) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $4.12 8.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 08:02 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $4.12 8.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 08:02 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $4.12 8.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 08:02 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $4.12 8.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 08:02 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $4.12 8.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 08:02 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [Kayem24](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Kayem24) $4.12 8.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 08:02 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $4.12 8.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 08:02 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $4.12 8.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 08:02 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $4.12 8.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 08:02 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $4.12 8.24 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-06 08:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $384 (93.11x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 32.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $32.52 on average: an expected loss of $67.48 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt