--- title: "Overpowered case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Overpowered ($81.33) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 96.78% over 704 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/overpowered rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Overpowered](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/overpowered) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Overpowered A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/overpowered?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/overpowered?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/overpowered) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/overpowered?window=all) Price · $81.33 · 163 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $73.20 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 96.78% · 704 openings, odds method Variance · 13.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 143.69% ±55.62 168 openings 30 days · 96.78% ±27.17 704 openings since tracking started · 96.78% ±27.17 704 openings 69.0% 134.5% 200.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/overpowered?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/overpowered?window=7d) | 168 | 143.69% ±55.6 | +1.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/overpowered) | 704 | 96.78% ±27.2 | +0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/overpowered?window=all) | 704 | 96.78% ±27.2 | +0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 704 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $8,338 16,675 coins | 11.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $1,534 3,068 coins | 8.4% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.36× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $967 1,934 coins | 6.6% | 5 | 3.5 | 1.42× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Overprint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $759 1,518 coins | 5.2% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.85× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $534 1,067 coins | 7.3% | 9 | 7.0 | 1.28× | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $370 740 coins | 10.1% | 17 | 14.1 | 1.21× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Overprint (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $166 332 coins | 4.5% | 18 | 14.1 | 1.28× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $158 315 coins | 6.5% | 22 | 21.1 | 1.04× | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $99.42 199 coins | 6.8% | 36 | 35.2 | 1.02× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $70.66 141 coins | 5.3% | 36 | 38.7 | 0.93× | | [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $52.99 106 coins | 4.3% | 39 | 42.2 | 0.92× | | [AWP \| Electric Hive (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-factory-new) | 10.0% | $41.20 82.39 coins | 5.6% | 72 | 70.4 | 1.02× | | [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-factory-new) | 14.0% | $39.17 78.34 coins | 7.5% | 121 | 98.6 | 1.23× | | [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 18.0% | $22.78 45.56 coins | 5.6% | 114 | 126.7 | 0.90× | | [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-field-tested) | 18.0% | $17.02 34.04 coins | 4.2% | 122 | 126.7 | 0.96× | | [Negev \| Power Loader (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-factory-new) | 14.0% | $3.66 7.31 coins | 0.7% | 88 | 98.6 | 0.89× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) Hidden $81.33 163 coins $8,338 16,675 coins 102.5x 2026-11-06 13:33 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-field-tested) Hidden $81.33 163 coins $1,534 3,068 coins 18.86x 2026-11-04 01:02 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-factory-new) Hidden $81.33 163 coins $967 1,934 coins 11.89x 2026-11-06 13:44 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-factory-new) Hidden $81.33 163 coins $967 1,934 coins 11.89x 2026-11-06 13:41 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-factory-new) Hidden $81.33 163 coins $967 1,934 coins 11.89x 2026-11-04 00:25 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-factory-new) Hidden $81.33 163 coins $967 1,934 coins 11.89x 2026-11-03 21:46 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-factory-new) Hidden $81.33 163 coins $967 1,934 coins 11.89x 2026-11-03 21:37 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Overprint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-factory-new) Hidden $81.33 163 coins $759 1,518 coins 9.33x 2026-11-06 15:06 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Overprint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-factory-new) Hidden $81.33 163 coins $759 1,518 coins 9.33x 2026-11-04 00:44 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Overprint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-factory-new) Hidden $81.33 163 coins $759 1,518 coins 9.33x 2026-11-03 21:41 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=overpowered) [AWP | Electric Hive (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-factory-new) Hidden $81.33 163 coins $41.20 82.39 coins 0.51x 2026-11-06 15:06 UTC [USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-field-tested) Hidden $81.33 163 coins $17.02 34.04 coins 0.21x 2026-11-06 15:06 UTC [Galil AR | CAUTION! (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-factory-new) [EliteRift1189](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/EliteRift1189) $81.33 163 coins $39.17 78.34 coins 0.48x 2026-11-06 15:06 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Overprint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-factory-new) Hidden $81.33 163 coins $759 1,518 coins 9.33x 2026-11-06 15:06 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-field-tested) Hidden $81.33 163 coins $70.66 141 coins 0.87x 2026-11-06 15:06 UTC [Negev | Power Loader (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-factory-new) Hidden $81.33 163 coins $3.66 7.31 coins 0.04x 2026-11-06 15:06 UTC [USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-field-tested) Hidden $81.33 163 coins $17.02 34.04 coins 0.21x 2026-11-06 15:02 UTC [USP-S | Overgrowth (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-field-tested) Hidden $81.33 163 coins $17.02 34.04 coins 0.21x 2026-11-06 15:02 UTC [Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $81.33 163 coins $22.78 45.56 coins 0.28x 2026-11-06 15:02 UTC [Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-factory-new) Hidden $81.33 163 coins $22.78 45.56 coins 0.28x 2026-11-06 15:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $81.33 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 12.0% legendary 1.0% covert 7.0% restricted 38.0% classified 28.0% #8847ff 14.0% best hit $8,338 (102.5x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt