---
title: "Phantom Case case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Phantom Case ($85.19) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 45.05% over 96 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phantom-case
rendered: 2026-11-13T04:02Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Phantom Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phantom-case)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Phantom Case

A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phantom-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phantom-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phantom-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phantom-case?window=all)

Price · $85.19 · 170 coins

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 45.05% · 96 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 8 openings · below min

7 days · 96 openings · below min

30 days · 96 openings · below min

since tracking started · 96 openings · below min

-0.5% 109.5% 219.5%

**Small sample.** 96 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phantom-case?window=24h) | 8 | 75.46% ±143.3 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phantom-case?window=7d) | 96 | 45.05% ±30.6 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phantom-case) | 96 | 45.05% ±30.6 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phantom-case?window=all) | 96 | 45.05% ±30.6 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $85.19 170 coins $500 1,000 coins 5.87x 2026-11-12 21:58 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $85.19 170 coins $500 1,000 coins 5.87x 2026-11-08 12:03 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $85.19 170 coins $500 1,000 coins 5.87x 2026-11-08 12:02 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $85.19 170 coins $500 1,000 coins 5.87x 2026-11-08 12:02 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $85.19 170 coins $500 1,000 coins 5.87x 2026-11-07 13:07 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) [prudent](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/prudent) $85.19 170 coins $500 1,000 coins 5.87x 2026-11-07 13:07 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $85.19 170 coins $500 1,000 coins 5.87x 2026-11-07 13:07 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=phantom-case)

[★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $85.19 170 coins $500 1,000 coins 5.87x 2026-11-12 21:58 UTC

[SG 553 | Phantom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-field-tested) Hidden $85.19 170 coins $0.28 0.55 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:58 UTC

[SG 553 | Phantom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-field-tested) Hidden $85.19 170 coins $0.28 0.55 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:58 UTC

[AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) Hidden $85.19 170 coins $6.37 12.73 coins 0.07x 2026-11-12 21:58 UTC

[SG 553 | Phantom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-field-tested) Hidden $85.19 170 coins $0.28 0.55 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:58 UTC

[AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) Hidden $85.19 170 coins $6.37 12.73 coins 0.07x 2026-11-12 21:58 UTC

[SG 553 | Phantom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-field-tested) Hidden $85.19 170 coins $0.28 0.55 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:58 UTC

[SG 553 | Phantom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-field-tested) Hidden $85.19 170 coins $0.28 0.55 coins 0.00x 2026-11-12 21:58 UTC

[SG 553 | Phantom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-field-tested) Hidden $85.19 170 coins $0.28 0.55 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 12:03 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $85.19 170 coins $500 1,000 coins 5.87x 2026-11-08 12:03 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $500 (5.87x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 45.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $45.05 on average: an expected loss of $54.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
