--- title: "Phoenix RIsing case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Phoenix RIsing ($108.89) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 57.00% over 278 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phoenix-rising rendered: 2026-11-11T23:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Phoenix RIsing](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phoenix-rising) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Phoenix RIsing A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 4 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phoenix-rising?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phoenix-rising?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phoenix-rising) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phoenix-rising?window=all) Price · $108.89 · 218 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 57.00% · 278 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 242 openings · below min 30 days · 278 openings · below min since tracking started · 278 openings · below min -0.5% 172.0% 344.5% **Small sample.** 278 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phoenix-rising?window=24h) | 8 | 116.97% ±227.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phoenix-rising?window=7d) | 242 | 63.03% ±37.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phoenix-rising) | 278 | 57.00% ±32.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/phoenix-rising?window=all) | 278 | 57.00% ±32.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $109 218 coins $2,371 4,742 coins 21.78x 2026-11-06 09:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $109 218 coins $2,150 4,300 coins 19.74x 2026-11-07 03:36 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $109 218 coins $1,973 3,946 coins 18.12x 2026-11-06 09:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $109 218 coins $1,973 3,946 coins 18.12x 2026-11-06 05:00 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $109 218 coins $1,350 2,701 coins 12.40x 2026-11-06 09:39 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $109 218 coins $1,350 2,701 coins 12.40x 2026-11-06 05:17 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $109 218 coins $1,010 2,020 coins 9.28x 2026-11-11 22:18 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [rm20bk](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/rm20bk) $109 218 coins $1,010 2,020 coins 9.28x 2026-11-06 09:39 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $109 218 coins $914 1,828 coins 8.40x 2026-11-06 09:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $109 218 coins $607 1,215 coins 5.58x 2026-11-06 09:39 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=phoenix-rising) [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) Hidden $109 218 coins $1.28 2.55 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:18 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) Hidden $109 218 coins $1.28 2.55 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:18 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) Hidden $109 218 coins $1.28 2.55 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:18 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) Hidden $109 218 coins $1.28 2.55 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:18 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) Hidden $109 218 coins $1.28 2.55 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:18 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) Hidden $109 218 coins $1.28 2.55 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:18 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) Hidden $109 218 coins $1.28 2.55 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:18 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $109 218 coins $1,010 2,020 coins 9.28x 2026-11-11 22:18 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) Hidden $109 218 coins $1.28 2.55 coins 0.01x 2026-11-09 00:14 UTC [MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) Hidden $109 218 coins $1.28 2.55 coins 0.01x 2026-11-09 00:14 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,371 (21.78x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 57.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $57.00 on average: an expected loss of $43.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt