--- title: "Pink Panther case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Pink Panther ($27.02) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 10 items with odds, observed 75.14% over 98 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pink-panther rendered: 2026-11-11T21:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Pink Panther](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pink-panther) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Pink Panther A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pink-panther?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pink-panther?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pink-panther) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pink-panther?window=all) Price · $27.02 · 54.04 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $24.31 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 75.14% · 98 openings, odds method Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 28.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 55.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 90 openings · below min 30 days · 98 openings · below min since tracking started · 98 openings · below min 61.0% 75.8% 90.5% **Small sample.** 98 openings and 27.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pink-panther?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pink-panther?window=7d) | 90 | 75.60% ±13.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pink-panther) | 98 | 75.14% ±13.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pink-panther?window=all) | 98 | 75.14% ±13.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 98 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $98.06 196 coins | 4.0% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $75.38 151 coins | 6.2% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× | | [Souvenir Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-pink-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $54.10 108 coins | 6.7% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.68× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $53.67 107 coins | 8.8% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.77× | | [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $45.68 91.35 coins | 9.4% | 4 | 4.9 | 0.82× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $39.19 78.38 coins | 9.7% | 8 | 5.9 | 1.36× | | [Galil AR \| Phoenix Blacklight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-phoenix-blacklight-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $37.48 74.96 coins | 10.8% | 5 | 6.9 | 0.73× | | [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $32.01 64.02 coins | 10.5% | 5 | 7.8 | 0.64× | | [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $28.89 57.77 coins | 10.7% | 8 | 8.8 | 0.91× | | [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) | 55.0% | $10.25 20.5 coins | 23.2% | 63 | 53.9 | 1.17× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=pink-panther) [Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-factory-new) Hidden $27.02 54.04 coins $28.89 57.77 coins 1.07x 2026-11-10 08:26 UTC [Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-factory-new) Hidden $27.02 54.04 coins $28.89 57.77 coins 1.07x 2026-11-10 08:26 UTC [Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-factory-new) Hidden $27.02 54.04 coins $45.68 91.35 coins 1.69x 2026-11-10 08:26 UTC [Tec-9 | Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-factory-new) Hidden $27.02 54.04 coins $28.89 57.77 coins 1.07x 2026-11-10 08:26 UTC [SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) [DemonDeeeeek](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/DemonDeeeeek) $27.02 54.04 coins $10.25 20.5 coins 0.38x 2026-11-10 08:26 UTC [SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) Hidden $27.02 54.04 coins $10.25 20.5 coins 0.38x 2026-11-10 08:26 UTC [SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) Hidden $27.02 54.04 coins $10.25 20.5 coins 0.38x 2026-11-09 11:25 UTC [SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) Hidden $27.02 54.04 coins $10.25 20.5 coins 0.38x 2026-11-09 11:25 UTC [SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) Hidden $27.02 54.04 coins $10.25 20.5 coins 0.38x 2026-11-09 11:25 UTC [SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) Hidden $27.02 54.04 coins $10.25 20.5 coins 0.38x 2026-11-09 11:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $27.02 | 89.99% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 9.0% restricted 18.0% Classified 4.0% classified 69.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt