--- title: "Platform Drop case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Platform Drop ($83.57) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 14 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platform-drop rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Platform Drop](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platform-drop) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Platform Drop A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platform-drop?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platform-drop?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platform-drop) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platform-drop?window=all) Price · $83.57 · 167 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $75.21 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 3.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 68.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platform-drop?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platform-drop?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platform-drop) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platform-drop?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,782 5,564 coins | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $1,006 2,012 coins | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 100 | $500 1,000 coins | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 57 | $371 742 coins | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 57 | $361 721 coins | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 57 | $360 721 coins | 8.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 50 | $346 693 coins | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 44 | $278 556 coins | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $133 267 coins | 8.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Bright Water (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-bright-water-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $131 262 coins | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [FAMAS \| Spitfire (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-spitfire-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $127 254 coins | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Charm \| POP Art charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pop-art) | 1 in 20 | $125 250 coins | 8.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Propaganda (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-propaganda-factory-new) | 10.0% | $27.81 55.62 coins | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [UMP-45 \| Metal Flowers (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-metal-flowers-factory-new) | 58.9% | $2.54 5.08 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=platform-drop) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $83.57 | 90.00% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 8.3% other 7.8% knifes 5.0% restricted 5.0% #8847ff 5.0% classified 10.0% #4b69ff 58.9% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt