--- title: "Platinum Knockoff case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Platinum Knockoff ($1.13) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.95% from 9 items with odds, observed 80.83% over 2,965 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platinum-knockoff rendered: 2026-11-11T19:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Platinum Knockoff](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platinum-knockoff) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Platinum Knockoff A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platinum-knockoff?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platinum-knockoff?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platinum-knockoff) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platinum-knockoff?window=all) Price · $1.13 · 2.25 coins Advertised RTP · 89.95% · EV $1.01 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 80.83% · 2,965 openings, odds method Variance · 17.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 47 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 91.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 91.40% ±38.58 441 openings 7 days · 87.93% ±18.03 2,020 openings 30 days · 80.83% ±14.88 2,965 openings since tracking started · 80.83% ±14.88 2,965 openings 52.0% 91.3% 130.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platinum-knockoff?window=24h) | 441 | 91.40% ±38.6 | +0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platinum-knockoff?window=7d) | 2,020 | 87.93% ±18.0 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platinum-knockoff) | 2,965 | 80.83% ±14.9 | −1.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platinum-knockoff?window=all) | 2,965 | 80.83% ±14.9 | −1.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,965 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir Five-SeveN \| Silver Quartz (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-silver-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $73.24 146 coins | 7.2% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× | | [Souvenir Five-SeveN \| Silver Quartz (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-silver-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 286 | $55.01 110 coins | 19.0% | 9 | 10.4 | 0.87× | | [P2000 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $25.74 51.47 coins | 17.8% | 17 | 20.8 | 0.82× | | [MAG-7 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $11.21 22.41 coins | 11.1% | 28 | 29.7 | 0.94× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Tread Plate (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tread-plate-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $5.26 10.51 coins | 10.4% | 53 | 59.3 | 0.89× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $2.07 4.14 coins | 8.2% | 109 | 118.6 | 0.92× | | [Five-SeveN \| Silver Quartz (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.43 0.87 coins | 4.3% | 294 | 296.5 | 0.99× | | [XM1014 \| Quicksilver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-quicksilver-factory-new) | 25.0% | $0.39 0.78 coins | 9.6% | 774 | 741.3 | 1.04× | | [Five-SeveN \| Silver Quartz (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-well-worn) | 56.9% | $0.22 0.44 coins | 12.4% | 1,679 | 1685.6 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-silver-quartz-factory-new) Hidden $1.13 2.25 coins $73.24 146 coins 65.10x 2026-11-08 19:12 UTC [Souvenir Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-silver-quartz-factory-new) Hidden $1.13 2.25 coins $73.24 146 coins 65.10x 2026-11-05 00:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=platinum-knockoff) [Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-well-worn) Hidden $1.13 2.25 coins $0.22 0.44 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC [Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-well-worn) Hidden $1.13 2.25 coins $0.22 0.44 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC [Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-well-worn) [oskandle](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/oskandle) $1.13 2.25 coins $0.22 0.44 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tread-plate-factory-new) Hidden $1.13 2.25 coins $5.26 10.51 coins 4.67x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tread-plate-factory-new) Hidden $1.13 2.25 coins $5.26 10.51 coins 4.67x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC [Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-well-worn) Hidden $1.13 2.25 coins $0.22 0.44 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC [Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-well-worn) Hidden $1.13 2.25 coins $0.22 0.44 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC [Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-factory-new) Hidden $1.13 2.25 coins $0.43 0.87 coins 0.39x 2026-11-11 19:07 UTC [Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-silver-quartz-well-worn) Hidden $1.13 2.25 coins $0.22 0.44 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 18:06 UTC [XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-quicksilver-factory-new) Hidden $1.13 2.25 coins $0.39 0.78 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 18:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.13 | 89.95% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Mil Spec Grade 0.1% other 0.4% mil spec 92.5% #87c7ff 1.0% #8847ff 2.0% light blue 4.0% best hit $73.24 (65.10x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.95 on average: an expected loss of $10.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt