---
title: "Platinum case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Platinum ($16.59) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 16 items with odds, observed 97.23% over 400 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platinum
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:39Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Platinum](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platinum)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Platinum

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platinum?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platinum?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platinum) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platinum?window=all)

Price · $16.59 · 33.17 coins

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $14.93 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 97.23% · 400 openings, odds method

Variance · 11.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 86.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 10 openings · below min

7 days · 97.80% ±36.45 324 openings

30 days · 97.23% ±32.81 400 openings

since tracking started · 97.23% ±32.81 400 openings

-0.5% 164.5% 329.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platinum?window=24h) | 10 | 121.38% ±207.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platinum?window=7d) | 324 | 97.80% ±36.5 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platinum) | 400 | 97.23% ±32.8 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/platinum?window=all) | 400 | 97.23% ±32.8 | +0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 400 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,258 2,517 coins | 4.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-damascus-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $618 1,235 coins | 4.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $343 686 coins | 4.6% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 455 | $321 643 coins | 4.7% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $296 592 coins | 6.9% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.14× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $266 531 coins | 7.1% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.88× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 238 | $252 503 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Stained (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $170 340 coins | 6.8% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $150 300 coins | 7.0% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.07× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $102 204 coins | 6.9% | 4 | 4.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $101 201 coins | 6.7% | 1 | 4.0 | 0.25× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $100 201 coins | 6.7% | 1 | 4.0 | 0.25× |
| [Souvenir Five-SeveN \| Silver Quartz (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-silver-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $73.24 146 coins | 12.3% | 9 | 10.0 | 0.90× |
| [P2000 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $25.74 51.47 coins | 8.6% | 24 | 20.0 | 1.20× |
| [MAG-7 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $11.21 22.41 coins | 6.0% | 45 | 32.0 | 1.41× |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) | 78.5% | $0.01 0.03 coins | 0.1% | 303 | 313.8 | 0.97× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-case-hardened-factory-new) Hidden $16.59 33.17 coins $1,258 2,517 coins 75.87x 2026-11-06 15:14 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=platinum)

[Souvenir Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-silver-quartz-factory-new) Hidden $16.59 33.17 coins $73.24 146 coins 4.42x 2026-11-10 19:52 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) Hidden $16.59 33.17 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:52 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) Hidden $16.59 33.17 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:52 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) [pooop](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/pooop) $16.59 33.17 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:52 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) Hidden $16.59 33.17 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) Hidden $16.59 33.17 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) Hidden $16.59 33.17 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC

[MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) Hidden $16.59 33.17 coins $0.01 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC

[P2000 | Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) Hidden $16.59 33.17 coins $25.74 51.47 coins 1.55x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) [pooop](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/pooop) $16.59 33.17 coins $102 204 coins 6.16x 2026-11-10 19:45 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $16.59 | 89.99% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.0% gold 0.4% knifes 0.4% Covert 0.6% covert knife 3.7% Mil Spec Grade 2.5% mil spec 5.0% #87c7ff 8.0% #4b69ff 78.5% best hit $1,258 (75.87x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt