--- title: "POW Jackpot case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "POW Jackpot ($1.06) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.18% from 8 items with odds, observed 78.64% over 2,753 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pow-jackpot rendered: 2026-11-11T17:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [POW Jackpot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pow-jackpot) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · POW Jackpot A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pow-jackpot?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pow-jackpot?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pow-jackpot) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pow-jackpot?window=all) Price · $1.06 · 2.11 coins Advertised RTP · 90.18% · EV $0.95 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.64% · 2,753 openings, odds method Variance · 150.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 40.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 76.09% ±148.89 260 openings 7 days · 76.15% ±53.43 2,019 openings 30 days · 78.64% ±45.75 2,753 openings since tracking started · 78.64% ±45.75 2,753 openings -0.5% 112.5% 225.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pow-jackpot?window=24h) | 260 | 76.09% ±148.9 | −0.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pow-jackpot?window=7d) | 2,019 | 76.15% ±53.4 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pow-jackpot) | 2,753 | 78.64% ±45.8 | −0.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pow-jackpot?window=all) | 2,753 | 78.64% ±45.8 | −0.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,753 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,289 2,577 coins | 13.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $5.23 10.45 coins | 27.5% | 144 | 137.7 | 1.05× | | [Five-SeveN \| Kami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1.16 2.32 coins | 6.1% | 148 | 137.7 | 1.08× | | [MAC-10 \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 30.0% | $1.09 2.17 coins | 34.2% | 803 | 825.9 | 0.97× | | [Dual Berettas \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cartel-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.39 0.77 coins | 6.1% | 400 | 412.9 | 0.97× | | [P90 \| Desert DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-desert-ddpat-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.39 0.77 coins | 6.1% | 426 | 412.9 | 1.03× | | [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.38 0.76 coins | 6.0% | 410 | 412.9 | 0.99× | | [PP-Bizon \| Facility Sketch (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-facility-sketch-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.04 0.07 coins | 0.6% | 422 | 412.7 | 1.02× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=pow-jackpot) [P90 | Desert DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-desert-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $1.06 2.11 coins $0.39 0.77 coins 0.36x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-factory-new) Hidden $1.06 2.11 coins $0.38 0.76 coins 0.36x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [P90 | Desert DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-desert-ddpat-field-tested) [eliboti](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/eliboti) $1.06 2.11 coins $0.39 0.77 coins 0.36x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ultraviolet-field-tested) Hidden $1.06 2.11 coins $1.09 2.17 coins 1.03x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ultraviolet-field-tested) Hidden $1.06 2.11 coins $1.09 2.17 coins 1.03x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-facility-sketch-factory-new) [eliboti](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/eliboti) $1.06 2.11 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 17:03 UTC [Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-factory-new) Hidden $1.06 2.11 coins $0.38 0.76 coins 0.36x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC [PP-Bizon | Facility Sketch (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-facility-sketch-factory-new) [Tomas0](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Tomas0) $1.06 2.11 coins $0.04 0.07 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC [MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ultraviolet-field-tested) Hidden $1.06 2.11 coins $1.09 2.17 coins 1.03x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC [MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ultraviolet-field-tested) Hidden $1.06 2.11 coins $1.09 2.17 coins 1.03x 2026-11-11 16:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.06 | 90.18% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% classified 5.0% mil spec 35.0% #4b69ff 15.0% other 15.0% milspec 15.0% consumer 15.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.18 on average: an expected loss of $9.82 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt