--- title: "Pressure case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Pressure ($61.65) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 16 items with odds, observed 41.11% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pressure rendered: 2026-11-11T13:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Pressure](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pressure) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Pressure A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pressure?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pressure?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pressure) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pressure?window=all) Price · $61.65 · 123 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $55.48 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 41.11% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 5.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min -0.5% 85.0% 170.5% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pressure?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pressure?window=7d) | 12 | 41.11% ±128.9 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pressure) | 12 | 41.11% ±128.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/pressure?window=all) | 12 | 41.11% ±128.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 100 | $835 1,669 coins | 15.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $751 1,501 coins | 13.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-classic-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $527 1,055 coins | 9.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Souvenir M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-eye-of-horus-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $520 1,041 coins | 9.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · Immortal · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 100 | $501 1,001 coins | 9.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $156 311 coins | 8.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Souvenir P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $127 254 coins | 8.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $115 231 coins | 7.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $69.34 139 coins | 6.2% | 3 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Tranquility (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-tranquility-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $55.91 112 coins | 5.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Charm \| Lil' Ava charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-ava) | 1 in 20 | $28.13 56.25 coins | 2.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) | 10.0% | $11.05 22.1 coins | 2.0% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.67× | | [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-field-tested) | 10.0% | $7.59 15.17 coins | 1.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [MP9 \| Setting Sun (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-factory-new) | 10.0% | $6.03 12.05 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $2.27 4.54 coins | 0.8% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× | | [Nova \| Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-field-tested) | 20.0% | $2.01 4.01 coins | 0.7% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=pressure) [M4A1-S | Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-field-tested) Hidden $61.65 123 coins $7.59 15.17 coins 0.12x 2026-11-04 20:08 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) Hidden $61.65 123 coins $69.34 139 coins 1.12x 2026-11-04 20:08 UTC [SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-minimal-wear) Hidden $61.65 123 coins $2.27 4.54 coins 0.04x 2026-11-04 20:08 UTC [StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-tranquility-factory-new) Hidden $61.65 123 coins $55.91 112 coins 0.91x 2026-11-04 20:08 UTC [Nova | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-field-tested) Hidden $61.65 123 coins $2.01 4.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-04 20:08 UTC [Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-field-tested) [kn0x77](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/kn0x77) $61.65 123 coins $11.05 22.1 coins 0.18x 2026-11-04 20:08 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) Hidden $61.65 123 coins $69.34 139 coins 1.12x 2026-11-04 17:15 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) Hidden $61.65 123 coins $69.34 139 coins 1.12x 2026-11-04 17:15 UTC [SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-minimal-wear) Hidden $61.65 123 coins $2.27 4.54 coins 0.04x 2026-11-04 17:15 UTC [Nova | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-field-tested) Hidden $61.65 123 coins $2.01 4.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-04 17:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $61.65 | 90.00% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 12.5% other 1.0% covert knife 1.0% Covert 1.0% Immortal 1.0% Restricted 3.5% #d32ee6 5.0% uncommon 5.0% Legendary 10.0% classified 30.0% mil spec 10.0% consumer 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt