--- title: "Prestige case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Prestige ($1.08) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.59% from 15 items with odds, observed 97.90% over 792 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/prestige rendered: 2026-11-11T13:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Prestige](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/prestige) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Prestige A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/prestige?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/prestige?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/prestige) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/prestige?window=all) Price · $1.08 · 2.16 coins Advertised RTP · 89.59% · EV $0.97 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.90% · 792 openings, odds method Variance · 2.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 72.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 63 openings · below min 7 days · 95.57% ±11.97 717 openings 30 days · 97.90% ±11.39 792 openings since tracking started · 97.90% ±11.39 792 openings 49.0% 90.0% 131.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/prestige?window=24h) | 63 | 89.81% ±40.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/prestige?window=7d) | 717 | 95.57% ±12.0 | +1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/prestige) | 792 | 97.90% ±11.4 | +1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/prestige?window=all) | 792 | 97.90% ±11.4 | +1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 792 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $8.01 16.02 coins | 8.3% | 8 | 7.9 | 1.01× | | [PP-Bizon \| Antique (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-antique-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $7.36 14.71 coins | 7.6% | 11 | 7.9 | 1.39× | | [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $6.27 12.54 coins | 6.5% | 8 | 7.9 | 1.01× | | [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $5.89 11.78 coins | 12.2% | 13 | 15.8 | 0.82× | | [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $5.51 11.01 coins | 11.4% | 21 | 15.8 | 1.33× | | [Dual Berettas \| Dezastre (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dezastre-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $3.79 7.58 coins | 7.8% | 17 | 15.8 | 1.07× | | [Dual Berettas \| Marina (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $3.52 7.03 coins | 7.3% | 19 | 15.8 | 1.20× | | [MP7 \| Special Delivery (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-special-delivery-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $2.23 4.45 coins | 9.2% | 42 | 31.7 | 1.33× | | [MAC-10 \| Surfwood (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-surfwood-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $2.13 4.25 coins | 8.8% | 33 | 31.7 | 1.04× | | [Nova \| Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $2.01 4.01 coins | 8.3% | 34 | 31.7 | 1.07× | | [AUG \| Radiation Hazard (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-radiation-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1.31 2.61 coins | 6.7% | 33 | 39.6 | 0.83× | | [PP-Bizon \| Osiris (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-osiris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.54 1.08 coins | 3.3% | 46 | 47.5 | 0.97× | | [G3SG1 \| Green Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-minimal-wear) | 18.0% | $0.06 0.12 coins | 1.1% | 131 | 142.6 | 0.92× | | [PP-Bizon \| Night Ops (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-ops-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.04 0.09 coins | 0.9% | 153 | 158.4 | 0.97× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-factory-new) | 28.0% | $0.02 0.04 coins | 0.6% | 223 | 221.8 | 1.01× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=prestige) [AUG | Radiation Hazard (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-radiation-hazard-factory-new) [pep](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/pep) $1.08 2.16 coins $1.31 2.61 coins 1.21x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-factory-new) Hidden $1.08 2.16 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [AUG | Radiation Hazard (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-radiation-hazard-factory-new) Hidden $1.08 2.16 coins $1.31 2.61 coins 1.21x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [Nova | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-moon-in-libra-field-tested) Hidden $1.08 2.16 coins $2.01 4.01 coins 1.86x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [MAC-10 | Surfwood (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-surfwood-field-tested) Hidden $1.08 2.16 coins $2.13 4.25 coins 1.97x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-factory-new) Hidden $1.08 2.16 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-factory-new) Hidden $1.08 2.16 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-ops-field-tested) Hidden $1.08 2.16 coins $0.04 0.09 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC [MAC-10 | Surfwood (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-surfwood-field-tested) Hidden $1.08 2.16 coins $2.13 4.25 coins 1.97x 2026-11-11 11:53 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-factory-new) Hidden $1.08 2.16 coins $0.02 0.04 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1.08 | 89.59% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.0% restricted 6.0% classified 2.0% Mythical 4.0% consumer 36.0% industrial 43.0% violet 6.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.59 on average: an expected loss of $10.41 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt