--- title: "Purple Power case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Purple Power ($3,402.65) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 87.14% over 32 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/purple-power rendered: 2026-11-11T19:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Purple Power](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/purple-power) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Purple Power A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/purple-power?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/purple-power?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/purple-power) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/purple-power?window=all) Price · $3,402.65 · 6,805 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $3,062.38 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.14% · 32 openings, odds method Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 14.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 32 openings · below min 30 days · 32 openings · below min since tracking started · 32 openings · below min 37.0% 87.0% 137.0% **Small sample.** 32 openings and 4.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/purple-power?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/purple-power?window=7d) | 32 | 87.14% ±49.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/purple-power) | 32 | 87.14% ±49.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/purple-power?window=all) | 32 | 87.14% ±49.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 32 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $36.3K 72,651 coins | 5.9% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $24.8K 49,625 coins | 8.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 33 | $12.1K 24,151 coins | 11.8% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $10.9K 21,888 coins | 17.9% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 20 | $9,457 18,914 coins | 15.4% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $8,972 17,944 coins | 14.6% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× | | [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 13.0% | $2,441 4,881 coins | 10.4% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.96× | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 13.0% | $1,182 2,363 coins | 5.0% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.72× | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 13.0% | $1,170 2,340 coins | 5.0% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.20× | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 13.0% | $1,044 2,089 coins | 4.4% | 10 | 4.2 | 2.40× | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 15.0% | $246 491 coins | 1.2% | 4 | 4.8 | 0.83× | | [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 13.5% | $45.11 90.22 coins | 0.2% | 2 | 4.3 | 0.46× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $3,403 6,805 coins $36.3K 72,651 coins 10.68x 2026-11-06 03:09 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $3,403 6,805 coins $9,457 18,914 coins 2.78x 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) [insane67](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/insane67) $3,403 6,805 coins $9,457 18,914 coins 2.78x 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $3,403 6,805 coins $8,972 17,944 coins 2.64x 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $3,403 6,805 coins $2,441 4,881 coins 0.72x 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $3,403 6,805 coins $2,441 4,881 coins 0.72x 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $3,403 6,805 coins $2,441 4,881 coins 0.72x 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $3,403 6,805 coins $2,441 4,881 coins 0.72x 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) Hidden $3,403 6,805 coins $1,182 2,363 coins 0.35x 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) [insane67](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/insane67) $3,403 6,805 coins $1,182 2,363 coins 0.35x 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=purple-power) [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $3,403 6,805 coins $246 491 coins 0.07x 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $3,403 6,805 coins $1,044 2,089 coins 0.31x 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $3,403 6,805 coins $1,170 2,340 coins 0.34x 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC [Sticker | HellRaisers (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $3,403 6,805 coins $9,457 18,914 coins 2.78x 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $3,403 6,805 coins $2,441 4,881 coins 0.72x 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) Hidden $3,403 6,805 coins $1,182 2,363 coins 0.35x 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) Hidden $3,403 6,805 coins $1,182 2,363 coins 0.35x 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) [insane67](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/insane67) $3,403 6,805 coins $1,182 2,363 coins 0.35x 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC [MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) Hidden $3,403 6,805 coins $45.11 90.22 coins 0.01x 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC [M4A1-S | Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) Hidden $3,403 6,805 coins $2,441 4,881 coins 0.72x 2026-11-06 03:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3,403 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 5.5% covert 58.5% contraband 5.0% remarkable 5.0% classified 13.0% restricted 13.0% best hit $36.3K (10.68x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt