--- title: "Rain ultima case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Rain ultima ($0.07) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.18% over 50.4K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rain-ultima rendered: 2026-11-11T13:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Rain ultima](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rain-ultima) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Rain ultima A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rain-ultima?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rain-ultima?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rain-ultima) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rain-ultima?window=all) Price · $0.07 · 0.13 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.18% · 50.4K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 86.85% ±37.35 3,014 openings 7 days · 88.85% ±10.83 36.9K openings 30 days · 87.18% ±9.16 50.4K openings since tracking started · 87.18% ±9.16 50.4K openings 49.0% 87.0% 125.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rain-ultima?window=24h) | 3,014 | 86.85% ±37.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rain-ultima?window=7d) | 36.9K | 88.85% ±10.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rain-ultima) | 50.4K | 87.18% ±9.16 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rain-ultima?window=all) | 50.4K | 87.18% ±9.16 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=rain-ultima) [P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $0.07 0.13 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 06:37 UTC [P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $0.07 0.13 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 06:37 UTC [P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $0.07 0.13 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 06:37 UTC [P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) [gabrielhenrique](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/gabrielhenrique) $0.07 0.13 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 06:37 UTC [P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $0.07 0.13 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 06:37 UTC [P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $0.07 0.13 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 06:37 UTC [P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $0.07 0.13 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 06:37 UTC [P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) [gabrielhenrique](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/gabrielhenrique) $0.07 0.13 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 06:37 UTC [P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $0.07 0.13 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 06:37 UTC [P2000 | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $0.07 0.13 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 06:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.18 on average: an expected loss of $12.82 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt