--- title: "realBIGNGASONLY case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "realBIGNGASONLY ($740.95) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 54.83% over 72 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/realbigngasonly rendered: 2026-11-12T01:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [realBIGNGASONLY](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/realbigngasonly) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · realBIGNGASONLY A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/realbigngasonly?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/realbigngasonly?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/realbigngasonly) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/realbigngasonly?window=all) Price · $740.95 · 1,482 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 54.83% · 72 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 72 openings · below min 30 days · 72 openings · below min since tracking started · 72 openings · below min 17.0% 54.8% 92.5% **Small sample.** 72 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/realbigngasonly?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/realbigngasonly?window=7d) | 72 | 54.83% ±37.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/realbigngasonly) | 72 | 54.83% ±37.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/realbigngasonly?window=all) | 72 | 54.83% ±37.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $741 1,482 coins $4,761 9,523 coins 6.43x 2026-11-09 17:01 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $741 1,482 coins $4,761 9,523 coins 6.43x 2026-11-09 16:45 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $741 1,482 coins $4,761 9,523 coins 6.43x 2026-11-06 21:20 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $741 1,482 coins $2,993 5,986 coins 4.04x 2026-11-09 17:04 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $741 1,482 coins $2,993 5,986 coins 4.04x 2026-11-09 17:04 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $741 1,482 coins $2,993 5,986 coins 4.04x 2026-11-09 17:02 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $741 1,482 coins $2,993 5,986 coins 4.04x 2026-11-09 16:45 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $741 1,482 coins $2,993 5,986 coins 4.04x 2026-11-06 21:27 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=realbigngasonly) [SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-sand-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $741 1,482 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:05 UTC [SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-sand-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $741 1,482 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:05 UTC [SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-sand-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $741 1,482 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:05 UTC [SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-sand-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $741 1,482 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:05 UTC [SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-sand-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $741 1,482 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:05 UTC [SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-sand-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $741 1,482 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:05 UTC [SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-sand-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $741 1,482 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:05 UTC [SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-sand-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $741 1,482 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:05 UTC [SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-sand-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $741 1,482 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:04 UTC [SCAR-20 | Sand Mesh (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-sand-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $741 1,482 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 17:04 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $4,761 (6.43x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 54.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $54.83 on average: an expected loss of $45.17 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt