---
title: "Red N Sassy case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Red N Sassy ($3.62) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 21 items with odds, observed 81.45% over 3,471 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/red-n-sassy
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:23Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Red N Sassy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/red-n-sassy)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Red N Sassy

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/red-n-sassy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/red-n-sassy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/red-n-sassy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/red-n-sassy?window=all)

Price · $3.62 · 7.24 coins

Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $3.26 from 21 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 81.45% · 3,471 openings, odds method

Variance · 38.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 43.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 56.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 70.23% ±47.29 668 openings

7 days · 78.76% ±24.55 2,479 openings

30 days · 81.45% ±20.75 3,471 openings

since tracking started · 81.45% ±20.75 3,471 openings

22.5% 70.3% 118.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/red-n-sassy?window=24h) | 668 | 70.23% ±47.3 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/red-n-sassy?window=7d) | 2,479 | 78.76% ±24.5 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/red-n-sassy) | 3,471 | 81.45% ±20.7 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/red-n-sassy?window=all) | 3,471 | 81.45% ±20.7 | −0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,471 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $6,282 12,564 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,293 2,585 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,263 2,526 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $302 605 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $301 602 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $301 602 coins | 0.9% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $301 602 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $271 542 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $259 519 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $257 515 coins | 0.8% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $257 515 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $256 513 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $256 512 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP7 \| Full Stop (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-full-stop-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $19.20 38.39 coins | 17.7% | 82 | 104.1 | 0.79× |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) | 40.0% | $5.78 11.56 coins | 71.0% | 1,382 | 1388.4 | 1.00× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $0.07 0.15 coins | 0.2% | 328 | 336.7 | 0.97× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.07 0.14 coins | 0.2% | 339 | 336.7 | 1.01× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.06 0.12 coins | 0.2% | 353 | 336.7 | 1.05× |
| [M249 \| System Lock (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-system-lock-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $0.06 0.12 coins | 0.2% | 349 | 336.7 | 1.04× |
| [Nova \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $0.06 0.11 coins | 0.2% | 353 | 336.7 | 1.05× |
| [MAG-7 \| Insomnia (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-insomnia-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.01 0.03 coins | 0.0% | 283 | 291.8 | 0.97× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $3.62 7.24 coins $301 602 coins 83.13x 2026-11-04 19:45 UTC

[★ Paracord Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $3.62 7.24 coins $257 515 coins 71.11x 2026-11-10 21:57 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=red-n-sassy)

[PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $3.62 7.24 coins $0.06 0.12 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC

[P250 | Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) Hidden $3.62 7.24 coins $5.78 11.56 coins 1.60x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC

[P250 | Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) Hidden $3.62 7.24 coins $5.78 11.56 coins 1.60x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC

[M249 | System Lock (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-system-lock-field-tested) Hidden $3.62 7.24 coins $0.06 0.12 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC

[P250 | Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) Hidden $3.62 7.24 coins $5.78 11.56 coins 1.60x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-factory-new) Hidden $3.62 7.24 coins $0.07 0.15 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $3.62 7.24 coins $0.07 0.14 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC

[M249 | System Lock (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-system-lock-field-tested) Hidden $3.62 7.24 coins $0.06 0.12 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $3.62 7.24 coins $0.06 0.12 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC

[M249 | System Lock (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-system-lock-field-tested) Hidden $3.62 7.24 coins $0.06 0.12 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3.62 | 89.99% | 21 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% covert knife 0.0% classified 40.0% Immortal 0.0% mil spec 22.4% industrial 19.4% #87c7ff 9.7% #4b69ff 8.4% best hit $301 (83.13x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt