--- title: "Rift case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Rift ($4,396.70) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rift rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Rift](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rift) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Rift A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rift?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rift?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rift) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rift?window=all) Price · $4,396.70 · 8,793 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $3,957.03 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 31.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 47.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rift?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rift?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rift) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rift?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $8,338 16,675 coins | 10.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $7,444 14,887 coins | 15.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $7,137 14,274 coins | 14.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 10.0% | $6,321 12,641 coins | 16.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 10.0% | $6,234 12,468 coins | 15.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 12.0% | $4,425 8,850 coins | 13.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| keshandr (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) | 15.0% | $3,915 7,830 coins | 14.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-field-tested) | 32.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=rift) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $4,397 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 13.0% covert 18.0% #ffd700 10.0% knifes 12.0% #EB4B4B 15.0% #4b69ff 32.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt