--- title: "Rodney Rooster case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Rodney Rooster ($26.86) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 12 items with odds, observed 91.27% over 118 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rodney-rooster rendered: 2026-11-11T17:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Rodney Rooster](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rodney-rooster) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Rodney Rooster A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rodney-rooster?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rodney-rooster?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rodney-rooster) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rodney-rooster?window=all) Price · $26.86 · 53.71 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $24.17 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.27% · 118 openings, odds method Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 21.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 62.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 94.19% ±23.71 110 openings 30 days · 91.27% ±22.89 118 openings since tracking started · 91.27% ±22.89 118 openings 67.5% 93.0% 118.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rodney-rooster?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rodney-rooster?window=7d) | 110 | 94.19% ±23.7 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rodney-rooster) | 118 | 91.27% ±22.9 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rodney-rooster?window=all) | 118 | 91.27% ±22.9 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 118 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Scorched (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $352 705 coins | 3.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [Charm \| Titeenium AWP charm · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-titeenium-awp) | 1 in 286 | $226 451 coins | 3.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $175 351 coins | 5.4% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $92.80 186 coins | 7.7% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.27× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $70.09 140 coins | 7.7% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.64× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $62.54 125 coins | 10.4% | 11 | 4.7 | 2.33× | | [Souvenir Five-SeveN \| Silver Quartz (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-five-seven-silver-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $55.01 110 coins | 11.4% | 4 | 5.9 | 0.68× | | [AK-47 \| Predator (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-predator-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $46.41 92.81 coins | 11.5% | 9 | 7.1 | 1.27× | | [Charm \| Baby's AK charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-babys-ak) | 1 in 14 | $39.00 78 coins | 11.3% | 6 | 8.3 | 0.73× | | [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $34.03 68.06 coins | 14.1% | 13 | 11.8 | 1.10× | | [SG 553 \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 10.0% | $25.16 50.31 coins | 10.4% | 6 | 11.8 | 0.51× | | [P90 \| Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-storm-field-tested) | 52.0% | $1.51 3.02 coins | 3.2% | 63 | 61.4 | 1.03× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=rodney-rooster) [P90 | Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-storm-field-tested) Hidden $26.86 53.71 coins $1.51 3.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-10 08:26 UTC [P90 | Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-storm-field-tested) Hidden $26.86 53.71 coins $1.51 3.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-10 08:26 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $26.86 53.71 coins $62.54 125 coins 2.33x 2026-11-10 08:26 UTC [SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-factory-new) Hidden $26.86 53.71 coins $25.16 50.31 coins 0.94x 2026-11-10 08:26 UTC [P90 | Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-storm-field-tested) [DemonDeeeeek](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/DemonDeeeeek) $26.86 53.71 coins $1.51 3.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-10 08:26 UTC [P90 | Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-storm-field-tested) Hidden $26.86 53.71 coins $1.51 3.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-10 08:26 UTC [P90 | Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-storm-field-tested) [Foxo16](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Foxo16) $26.86 53.71 coins $1.51 3.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 21:51 UTC [P90 | Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-storm-field-tested) Hidden $26.86 53.71 coins $1.51 3.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 21:51 UTC [Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.86 53.71 coins $34.03 68.06 coins 1.27x 2026-11-09 21:51 UTC [P90 | Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-storm-field-tested) Hidden $26.86 53.71 coins $1.51 3.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 21:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $26.86 | 90.00% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 4.3% Legendary 0.4% #ffd700 0.8% covert knife 4.7% other 5.0% industrial 6.0% Rare 17.0% classified 10.0% Common 52.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt