--- title: "Ronaldo case case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Ronaldo case ($0.16) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 84.61% over 1,884 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ronaldo-case rendered: 2026-11-12T07:00Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Ronaldo case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ronaldo-case) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Ronaldo case A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ronaldo-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ronaldo-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ronaldo-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ronaldo-case?window=all) Price · $0.16 · 0.31 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 84.61% · 1,884 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 454 openings · below min 30 days · 84.61% ±39.28 1,884 openings since tracking started · 84.61% ±39.28 1,884 openings -0.5% 79.0% 158.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ronaldo-case?window=24h) | 16 | 3.23% ±0.00 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ronaldo-case?window=7d) | 454 | 78.13% ±79.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ronaldo-case) | 1,884 | 84.61% ±39.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ronaldo-case?window=all) | 1,884 | 84.61% ±39.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [FAMAS | Contrast Spray (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-contrast-spray-factory-new) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins $24.98 49.95 coins 161.1x 2026-11-05 07:08 UTC [P250 | Gunsmoke (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-gunsmoke-factory-new) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins $19.17 38.33 coins 123.6x 2026-11-05 08:10 UTC [P250 | Gunsmoke (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-gunsmoke-factory-new) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins $19.17 38.33 coins 123.6x 2026-11-05 08:00 UTC [P250 | Gunsmoke (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-gunsmoke-factory-new) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins $19.17 38.33 coins 123.6x 2026-11-05 07:49 UTC [P250 | Gunsmoke (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-gunsmoke-factory-new) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins $19.17 38.33 coins 123.6x 2026-11-05 07:33 UTC [P250 | Gunsmoke (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-gunsmoke-factory-new) [vahidka023gma](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/vahidka023gma) $0.15 0.31 coins $19.17 38.33 coins 123.6x 2026-11-05 07:17 UTC [P250 | Gunsmoke (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-gunsmoke-factory-new) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins $19.17 38.33 coins 123.6x 2026-11-05 06:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=ronaldo-case) [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [Teeboy77](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Teeboy77) $0.15 0.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) Hidden $0.15 0.31 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $24.98 (161.1x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.61 on average: an expected loss of $15.39 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt