--- title: "Ruby Roses case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Ruby Roses ($27.21) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 16 items with odds, observed 105.75% over 1,586 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ruby-roses rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Ruby Roses](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ruby-roses) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Ruby Roses A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ruby-roses?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ruby-roses?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ruby-roses) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ruby-roses?window=all) Price · $27.21 · 54.42 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $24.49 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 105.75% · 1,586 openings, odds method Variance · 23.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 87.05% ±60.12 254 openings 7 days · 97.04% ±27.48 1,216 openings 30 days · 105.75% ±24.06 1,586 openings since tracking started · 105.75% ±24.06 1,586 openings 26.5% 87.3% 148.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ruby-roses?window=24h) | 254 | 87.05% ±60.1 | −0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ruby-roses?window=7d) | 1,216 | 97.04% ±27.5 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ruby-roses) | 1,586 | 105.75% ±24.1 | +1.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/ruby-roses?window=all) | 1,586 | 105.75% ±24.1 | +1.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,586 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 10,000 | $8,347 16,693 coins | 3.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 3,333 | $3,107 6,214 coins | 3.8% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,973 3,946 coins | 4.0% | 3 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,667 | $1,010 2,020 coins | 2.5% | 2 | 1.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 1,429 | $873 1,745 coins | 2.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.90× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 100 | $493 986 coins | 20.1% | 14 | 15.9 | 0.88× | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $334 668 coins | 24.1% | 34 | 28.1 | 1.21× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $122 244 coins | 25.0% | 76 | 79.3 | 0.96× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Rezan the Red (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-rezan-the-red-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $70.67 141 coins | 5.8% | 35 | 31.7 | 1.10× | | [M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $60.88 122 coins | 5.0% | 37 | 31.7 | 1.17× | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $26.89 53.78 coins | 2.2% | 32 | 31.7 | 1.01× | | [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $7.39 14.77 coins | 0.6% | 25 | 31.7 | 0.79× | | [P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $5.78 11.56 coins | 0.5% | 33 | 31.7 | 1.04× | | [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $3.61 7.22 coins | 0.3% | 38 | 31.7 | 1.20× | | [Tec-9 \| Isaac (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $1.98 3.95 coins | 0.2% | 22 | 31.7 | 0.69× | | [Nova \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) | 78.0% | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.1% | 1,233 | 1237.2 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $27.21 54.42 coins $3,107 6,214 coins 114.2x 2026-11-04 08:52 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $27.21 54.42 coins $1,973 3,946 coins 72.50x 2026-11-04 18:22 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $27.21 54.42 coins $1,973 3,946 coins 72.50x 2026-11-04 08:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $27.21 54.42 coins $1,973 3,946 coins 72.50x 2026-11-03 13:45 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $27.21 54.42 coins $1,010 2,020 coins 37.12x 2026-11-08 10:24 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $27.21 54.42 coins $1,010 2,020 coins 37.12x 2026-11-06 19:10 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $27.21 54.42 coins $873 1,745 coins 32.07x 2026-11-05 05:22 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=ruby-roses) [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $27.21 54.42 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $27.21 54.42 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $27.21 54.42 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $27.21 54.42 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $27.21 54.42 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $27.21 54.42 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $27.21 54.42 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $27.21 54.42 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:28 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $27.21 54.42 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:27 UTC [Nova | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $27.21 54.42 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 02:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $27.21 | 89.99% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 6.2% Covert 0.1% classified 5.8% extraordinary 2.0% restricted 4.0% red 2.0% mil spec 2.0% Uncommon 78.0% best hit $3,107 (114.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt