---
title: "Rush B case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Rush B ($18.02) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 8 items with odds, observed 81.31% over 651 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rush-b
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:29Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Rush B](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rush-b)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Rush B

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rush-b?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rush-b?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rush-b) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rush-b?window=all)

Price · $18.02 · 36.03 coins

Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $16.21 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 81.31% · 651 openings, odds method

Variance · 22.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 67 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 97.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 2 openings · below min

7 days · 84.37% ±40.07 547 openings

30 days · 81.31% ±36.73 651 openings

since tracking started · 81.31% ±36.73 651 openings

-0.5% 333.3% 667.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rush-b?window=24h) | 2 | 3.64% ±662.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rush-b?window=7d) | 547 | 84.37% ±40.1 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rush-b) | 651 | 81.31% ±36.7 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rush-b?window=all) | 651 | 81.31% ±36.7 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 651 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $657 1,315 coins | 30.4% | 7 | 4.9 | 1.43× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $554 1,107 coins | 25.6% | 1 | 4.9 | 0.20× |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $401 802 coins | 18.5% | 3 | 4.9 | 0.61× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Scorched (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $352 705 coins | 16.3% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.23× |
| [Nova \| Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-green-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $10.01 20.02 coins | 3.7% | 50 | 39.1 | 1.28× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-field-tested) | 23.0% | $2.01 4.01 coins | 2.8% | 141 | 149.7 | 0.94× |
| [G3SG1 \| Azure Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-azure-zebra-factory-new) | 30.0% | $1.01 2.02 coins | 1.9% | 209 | 195.3 | 1.07× |
| [Tec-9 \| Snek-9 (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-factory-new) | 38.0% | $0.30 0.6 coins | 0.7% | 234 | 247.4 | 0.95× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $657 1,315 coins 36.49x 2026-11-09 18:10 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $657 1,315 coins 36.49x 2026-11-08 19:30 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) [Kamy](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Kamy) $18.02 36.03 coins $657 1,315 coins 36.49x 2026-11-07 23:21 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $657 1,315 coins 36.49x 2026-11-06 22:31 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) [insane67](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/insane67) $18.02 36.03 coins $657 1,315 coins 36.49x 2026-11-06 13:09 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) [Audio](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Audio) $18.02 36.03 coins $657 1,315 coins 36.49x 2026-11-05 04:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $657 1,315 coins 36.49x 2026-11-04 06:33 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $554 1,107 coins 30.73x 2026-11-06 18:46 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=rush-b)

[G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-azure-zebra-factory-new) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-10 21:40 UTC

[Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-factory-new) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $18.02 36.03 coins $0.30 0.6 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 21:40 UTC

[Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-factory-new) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $0.30 0.6 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 13:30 UTC

[Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-factory-new) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $0.30 0.6 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 13:30 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-field-tested) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $2.01 4.01 coins 0.11x 2026-11-10 13:30 UTC

[Nova | Green Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-green-apple-factory-new) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $10.01 20.02 coins 0.56x 2026-11-10 13:30 UTC

[Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-factory-new) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $0.30 0.6 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 13:30 UTC

[G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-azure-zebra-factory-new) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-10 13:30 UTC

[G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-azure-zebra-factory-new) Hidden $18.02 36.03 coins $1.01 2.02 coins 0.06x 2026-11-10 13:30 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-field-tested) [goofygooner](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/goofygooner) $18.02 36.03 coins $2.01 4.01 coins 0.11x 2026-11-10 13:30 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $18.02 | 89.98% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.5% covert knife 1.5% industrial 6.0% #777777 23.0% mil spec 68.0% best hit $657 (36.49x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
