--- title: "Russian Roulette case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Russian Roulette ($4,609.03) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 101.02% over 664 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/russian-roulette rendered: 2026-11-11T14:07Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Russian Roulette](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/russian-roulette) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Russian Roulette A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/russian-roulette?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/russian-roulette?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/russian-roulette) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/russian-roulette?window=all) Price · $4,609.03 · 9,218 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $4,148.13 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 101.02% · 664 openings, odds method Variance · 12.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 92.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 101.02% ±27.26 664 openings 30 days · 101.02% ±27.26 664 openings since tracking started · 101.02% ±27.26 664 openings -0.5% 138.3% 277.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/russian-roulette?window=24h) | 16 | 100.75% ±175.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/russian-roulette?window=7d) | 664 | 101.02% ±27.3 | +0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/russian-roulette) | 664 | 101.02% ±27.3 | +0.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/russian-roulette?window=all) | 664 | 101.02% ±27.3 | +0.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 664 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $112K 223,312 coins | 26.9% | 4 | 6.6 | 0.60× | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $73.5K 147,047 coins | 17.7% | 10 | 6.6 | 1.51× | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $72.4K 144,822 coins | 17.5% | 10 | 6.6 | 1.51× | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $52.4K 104,780 coins | 12.6% | 10 | 6.6 | 1.51× | | [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $36.5K 72,902 coins | 8.8% | 6 | 6.6 | 0.90× | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 100 | $31.6K 63,128 coins | 7.6% | 9 | 6.6 | 1.36× | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 80 | $25.5K 51,019 coins | 7.7% | 5 | 8.3 | 0.60× | | [Souvenir R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 92.7% | $51.63 103 coins | 1.2% | 610 | 615.8 | 0.99× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $4,609 9,218 coins $112K 223,312 coins 24.23x 2026-11-08 17:15 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $4,609 9,218 coins $112K 223,312 coins 24.23x 2026-11-06 17:45 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $4,609 9,218 coins $112K 223,312 coins 24.23x 2026-11-05 11:26 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $4,609 9,218 coins $112K 223,312 coins 24.23x 2026-11-04 23:02 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $4,609 9,218 coins $73.5K 147,047 coins 15.95x 2026-11-10 23:25 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $4,609 9,218 coins $73.5K 147,047 coins 15.95x 2026-11-09 05:03 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) [bigbombaclat](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/bigbombaclat) $4,609 9,218 coins $73.5K 147,047 coins 15.95x 2026-11-08 17:17 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $4,609 9,218 coins $73.5K 147,047 coins 15.95x 2026-11-08 17:15 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $4,609 9,218 coins $73.5K 147,047 coins 15.95x 2026-11-07 03:13 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $4,609 9,218 coins $73.5K 147,047 coins 15.95x 2026-11-07 03:06 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=russian-roulette) [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $4,609 9,218 coins $51.63 103 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $4,609 9,218 coins $51.63 103 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $4,609 9,218 coins $51.63 103 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $4,609 9,218 coins $51.63 103 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $4,609 9,218 coins $51.63 103 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $4,609 9,218 coins $51.63 103 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $4,609 9,218 coins $51.63 103 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $4,609 9,218 coins $51.63 103 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 13:43 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $4,609 9,218 coins $51.63 103 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 23:25 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-amber-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $4,609 9,218 coins $51.63 103 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 23:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $4,609 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 1.0% legendary 3.0% remarkable 3.3% Classified 92.7% best hit $112K (24.23x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt