--- title: "Rusty Bob case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Rusty Bob ($3,077.93) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rusty-bob rendered: 2026-11-11T13:28Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Rusty Bob](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rusty-bob) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Rusty Bob A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rusty-bob?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rusty-bob?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rusty-bob) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rusty-bob?window=all) Price · $3,077.93 · 6,156 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $2,770.13 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 3.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rusty-bob?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rusty-bob?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rusty-bob) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/rusty-bob?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $41.2K 82,490 coins | 14.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 50 | $25.5K 51,019 coins | 18.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $11.7K 23,410 coins | 21.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 20 | $9,900 19,800 coins | 17.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 24.0% | $1,182 2,363 coins | 10.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Smoke Out (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-smoke-out-factory-new) | 22.0% | $1,125 2,251 coins | 8.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Night (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-factory-new) | 21.0% | $1,120 2,239 coins | 8.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MP9 \| Storm (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-storm-factory-new) | 20.0% | $4.84 9.68 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=rusty-bob) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3,078 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 27.0% remarkable 2.0% extraordinary 27.0% restricted 24.0% Consumer Grade 20.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt