--- title: "Sack of Fortune case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sack of Fortune ($12.75) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 8 items with odds, observed 86.71% over 2,301 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sack-of-fortune rendered: 2026-11-12T15:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Sack of Fortune](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sack-of-fortune) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Sack of Fortune A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sack-of-fortune?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sack-of-fortune?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sack-of-fortune) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sack-of-fortune?window=all) Price · $12.75 · 25.49 coins Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $11.47 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.71% · 2,301 openings, odds method Variance · 12.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 75.03% ±52.29 171 openings 7 days · 85.06% ±17.14 1,591 openings 30 days · 86.71% ±14.25 2,301 openings since tracking started · 86.71% ±14.25 2,301 openings 22.0% 75.0% 128.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sack-of-fortune?window=24h) | 171 | 75.03% ±52.3 | −0.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sack-of-fortune?window=7d) | 1,591 | 85.06% ±17.1 | −0.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sack-of-fortune) | 2,301 | 86.71% ±14.3 | −0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sack-of-fortune?window=all) | 2,301 | 86.71% ±14.3 | −0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,301 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 100 | $386 771 coins | 33.6% | 22 | 23.0 | 0.96× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $153 305 coins | 26.6% | 42 | 46.0 | 0.91× | | [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $39.38 78.75 coins | 6.9% | 53 | 46.0 | 1.15× | | [USP-S \| Road Rash (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-road-rash-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $39.29 78.58 coins | 6.9% | 38 | 46.0 | 0.83× | | [Charm \| Baby's AK charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-babys-ak) | 1 in 50 | $39.00 78 coins | 6.8% | 44 | 46.0 | 0.96× | | [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $34.03 68.06 coins | 8.9% | 72 | 69.0 | 1.04× | | [Charm \| Lil' Crass charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-crass) | 1 in 33 | $31.00 62 coins | 8.1% | 71 | 69.0 | 1.03× | | [Tec-9 \| Snek-9 (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-factory-new) | 85.0% | $0.30 0.6 coins | 2.2% | 1,959 | 1955.8 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 12 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=sack-of-fortune) [Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.75 25.49 coins $34.03 68.06 coins 2.67x 2026-11-12 13:59 UTC [Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-factory-new) Hidden $12.75 25.49 coins $0.30 0.6 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 13:59 UTC [Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-factory-new) Hidden $12.75 25.49 coins $0.30 0.6 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 13:59 UTC [Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-factory-new) [z3r0d3a7s](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/z3r0d3a7s) $12.75 25.49 coins $0.30 0.6 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 13:59 UTC [Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-factory-new) Hidden $12.75 25.49 coins $0.30 0.6 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 11:54 UTC [Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-factory-new) Hidden $12.75 25.49 coins $0.30 0.6 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 11:54 UTC [Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-factory-new) [LRusic](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/LRusic) $12.75 25.49 coins $0.30 0.6 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 11:54 UTC [Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-factory-new) Hidden $12.75 25.49 coins $0.30 0.6 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 11:54 UTC [Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-factory-new) Hidden $12.75 25.49 coins $0.30 0.6 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 11:54 UTC [Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-snek-9-factory-new) Hidden $12.75 25.49 coins $0.30 0.6 coins 0.02x 2026-11-12 11:54 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $12.75 | 89.98% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 5.0% restricted 2.0% Rare 2.0% classified 3.0% uncommon 3.0% mil spec 85.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt