--- title: "Scope case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Scope ($20.89) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 14 items with odds, observed 71.70% over 98 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/scope rendered: 2026-11-11T19:32Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Scope](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/scope) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Scope A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/scope?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/scope?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/scope) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/scope?window=all) Price · $20.89 · 41.78 coins Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $18.80 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 71.70% · 98 openings, odds method Variance · 3.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 60 openings · below min 30 days · 98 openings · below min since tracking started · 98 openings · below min 34.0% 82.8% 131.5% **Small sample.** 98 openings and 6.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/scope?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/scope?window=7d) | 60 | 83.51% ±47.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/scope) | 98 | 71.70% ±37.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/scope?window=all) | 98 | 71.70% ±37.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 98 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $202 403 coins | 10.7% | 0 | 1.0 | — | | [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 81 | $182 364 coins | 11.9% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [AWP \| Doodle Lore (Factory New) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-doodle-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $156 312 coins | 12.5% | 5 | 1.5 | 3.40× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $94.25 189 coins | 15.0% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.34× | | [StatTrak™ AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-bengal-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $66.39 133 coins | 12.4% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.58× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Elite Build (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $53.59 107 coins | 11.4% | 2 | 3.9 | 0.51× | | [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $47.35 94.7 coins | 10.1% | 0 | 3.9 | 0.00× | | [SG 553 \| Tornado (Factory New) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tornado-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $39.54 79.08 coins | 8.9% | 6 | 4.2 | 1.44× | | [SCAR-20 \| Magna Carta (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-magna-carta-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $12.62 25.24 coins | 3.4% | 4 | 4.9 | 0.82× | | [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $6.41 12.81 coins | 1.7% | 4 | 4.9 | 0.82× | | [SSG 08 \| Mayan Dreams (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mayan-dreams-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $3.16 6.31 coins | 1.3% | 9 | 7.8 | 1.15× | | [SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1.04 2.07 coins | 0.6% | 7 | 9.8 | 0.71× | | [G3SG1 \| Orange Crash (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.17 0.34 coins | 0.1% | 22 | 14.7 | 1.50× | | [G3SG1 \| VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) | 34.5% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 36 | 33.8 | 1.06× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=scope) [G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-factory-new) Hidden $20.89 41.78 coins $0.17 0.34 coins 0.01x 2026-11-08 16:39 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $20.89 41.78 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 16:39 UTC [G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-factory-new) Hidden $20.89 41.78 coins $0.17 0.34 coins 0.01x 2026-11-08 16:39 UTC [G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-factory-new) Hidden $20.89 41.78 coins $0.17 0.34 coins 0.01x 2026-11-08 16:39 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $20.89 41.78 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 16:39 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) [axel02legmail](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/axel02legmail) $20.89 41.78 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 16:39 UTC [AUG | Fleet Flock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-factory-new) Hidden $20.89 41.78 coins $6.41 12.81 coins 0.31x 2026-11-07 17:59 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $20.89 41.78 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 17:59 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $20.89 41.78 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-07 17:59 UTC [SG 553 | Tornado (Factory New) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tornado-factory-new) Hidden $20.89 41.78 coins $39.54 79.08 coins 1.89x 2026-11-07 17:59 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $20.89 | 89.98% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 5.0% #d32ee6 1.2% other 4.5% Classified 3.5% classified 9.0% gray 4.3% Mil Spec Grade 5.0% Industrial Grade 8.0% restricted 10.0% mil spec 15.0% industrial 34.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt