--- title: "Scream case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Scream ($50.34) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 16 items with odds, observed 92.09% over 98 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/scream rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Scream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/scream) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Scream A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/scream?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/scream?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/scream) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/scream?window=all) Price · $50.34 · 101 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $45.30 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.09% · 98 openings, odds method Variance · 6.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 84.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 66 openings · below min 30 days · 98 openings · below min since tracking started · 98 openings · below min -0.5% 149.3% 299.0% **Small sample.** 98 openings and 5.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/scream?window=24h) | 4 | 56.01% ±242.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/scream?window=7d) | 66 | 114.06% ±59.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/scream) | 98 | 92.09% ±49.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/scream?window=all) | 98 | 92.09% ±49.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 98 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $734 1,467 coins | 16.2% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $678 1,357 coins | 15.0% | 1 | 1.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $418 836 coins | 18.5% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× | | [★ Bayonet \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $310 620 coins | 13.7% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.02× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $201 401 coins | 17.7% | 7 | 3.9 | 1.79× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $108 215 coins | 4.7% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.02× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $93.07 186 coins | 4.1% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.02× | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $61.68 123 coins | 2.7% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× | | [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $47.87 95.74 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× | | [Galil AR \| Winter Forest (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-winter-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $27.96 55.92 coins | 1.2% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.02× | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $22.86 45.72 coins | 1.0% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.02× | | [M4A4 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $12.07 24.13 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× | | [M249 \| Blizzard Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-blizzard-marbleized-field-tested) | 11.0% | $4.57 9.13 coins | 1.1% | 12 | 10.8 | 1.11× | | [Galil AR \| Kami (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-factory-new) | 20.0% | $2.09 4.18 coins | 0.9% | 21 | 19.6 | 1.07× | | [Galil AR \| Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1.02 2.04 coins | 0.5% | 24 | 19.6 | 1.22× | | [SG 553 \| Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 20 | 24.5 | 0.82× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) [valentinslisaks](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/valentinslisaks) $50.34 101 coins $734 1,467 coins 14.58x 2026-11-04 17:03 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $50.34 101 coins $678 1,357 coins 13.48x 2026-11-08 23:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=scream) [Galil AR | Kami (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-factory-new) Hidden $50.34 101 coins $2.09 4.18 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 23:05 UTC [Galil AR | Kami (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-factory-new) Hidden $50.34 101 coins $2.09 4.18 coins 0.04x 2026-11-10 23:05 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) Hidden $50.34 101 coins $108 215 coins 2.14x 2026-11-10 23:05 UTC [Galil AR | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-factory-new) [BlankTorch7918](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BlankTorch7918) $50.34 101 coins $1.02 2.04 coins 0.02x 2026-11-10 23:05 UTC [Galil AR | Kami (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-factory-new) Hidden $50.34 101 coins $2.09 4.18 coins 0.04x 2026-11-09 18:34 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) Hidden $50.34 101 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 18:34 UTC [Galil AR | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-factory-new) Hidden $50.34 101 coins $1.02 2.04 coins 0.02x 2026-11-09 18:34 UTC [M249 | Blizzard Marbleized (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-blizzard-marbleized-field-tested) [Greg](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Greg) $50.34 101 coins $4.57 9.13 coins 0.09x 2026-11-09 18:34 UTC [Galil AR | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-factory-new) Hidden $50.34 101 coins $1.02 2.04 coins 0.02x 2026-11-09 18:34 UTC [Galil AR | Tuxedo (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-tuxedo-factory-new) Hidden $50.34 101 coins $1.02 2.04 coins 0.02x 2026-11-09 18:34 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $50.34 | 89.99% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed gold 3.0% covert 9.0% other 2.0% knifes 2.0% covert knife 4.0% Ancient 2.0% Industrial Grade 2.0% industrial 11.0% #4b69ff 20.0% Rare 20.0% blue 25.0% best hit $734 (14.58x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt