--- title: "SDL Magnet case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "SDL Magnet ($22,050.28) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 114.84% over 82 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sdl-magnet rendered: 2026-11-11T18:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [SDL Magnet](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sdl-magnet) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · SDL Magnet A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sdl-magnet?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sdl-magnet?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sdl-magnet) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sdl-magnet?window=all) Price · $22,050.28 · 44,101 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $19,845.25 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 114.84% · 82 openings, odds method Variance · 3.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 11.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 63.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 82 openings · below min 30 days · 82 openings · below min since tracking started · 82 openings · below min 72.5% 114.8% 157.0% **Small sample.** 82 openings and 9.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sdl-magnet?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sdl-magnet?window=7d) | 82 | 114.84% ±41.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sdl-magnet) | 82 | 114.84% ±41.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sdl-magnet?window=all) | 82 | 114.84% ±41.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 82 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $217K 434,217 coins | 43.8% | 6 | 3.3 | 1.83× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $36.3K 72,651 coins | 13.7% | 3 | 6.1 | 0.49× | | [Sticker \| Team Dignitas (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) | 10.0% | $31.6K 63,128 coins | 15.9% | 6 | 8.2 | 0.73× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) | 15.0% | $26.7K 53,347 coins | 20.2% | 13 | 12.3 | 1.06× | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 15.0% | $4,209 8,418 coins | 3.2% | 10 | 12.3 | 0.81× | | [Sticker \| keshandr (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) | 15.0% | $3,915 7,830 coins | 3.0% | 21 | 12.3 | 1.71× | | [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Knives](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 15.0% | $250 500 coins | 0.2% | 12 | 12.3 | 0.98× | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-asiimov-factory-new) | 18.5% | $125 249 coins | 0.1% | 11 | 15.2 | 0.73× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $22.1K 44,101 coins $217K 434,217 coins 9.85x 2026-11-07 10:24 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $22.1K 44,101 coins $217K 434,217 coins 9.85x 2026-11-06 05:25 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $22.1K 44,101 coins $217K 434,217 coins 9.85x 2026-11-06 05:25 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $22.1K 44,101 coins $217K 434,217 coins 9.85x 2026-11-05 12:24 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $22.1K 44,101 coins $217K 434,217 coins 9.85x 2026-11-04 22:48 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $22.1K 44,101 coins $217K 434,217 coins 9.85x 2026-11-04 22:47 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $22.1K 44,101 coins $36.3K 72,651 coins 1.65x 2026-11-07 10:24 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $22.1K 44,101 coins $36.3K 72,651 coins 1.65x 2026-11-07 10:24 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $22.1K 44,101 coins $36.3K 72,651 coins 1.65x 2026-11-07 10:23 UTC [Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $22.1K 44,101 coins $31.6K 63,128 coins 1.43x 2026-11-09 20:02 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=sdl-magnet) [Sticker | Team Dignitas (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-dignitas-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $22.1K 44,101 coins $31.6K 63,128 coins 1.43x 2026-11-09 20:02 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-well-worn) Hidden $22.1K 44,101 coins $26.7K 53,347 coins 1.21x 2026-11-09 20:02 UTC [Sticker | keshandr (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $22.1K 44,101 coins $3,915 7,830 coins 0.18x 2026-11-09 20:02 UTC [Sticker | keshandr (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) [BlankTorch7918](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/BlankTorch7918) $22.1K 44,101 coins $3,915 7,830 coins 0.18x 2026-11-09 20:02 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Knives](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $22.1K 44,101 coins $250 500 coins 0.01x 2026-11-07 10:24 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) Hidden $22.1K 44,101 coins $217K 434,217 coins 9.85x 2026-11-07 10:24 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-asiimov-factory-new) Hidden $22.1K 44,101 coins $125 249 coins 0.01x 2026-11-07 10:24 UTC [Sticker | keshandr (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $22.1K 44,101 coins $3,915 7,830 coins 0.18x 2026-11-07 10:24 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-asiimov-factory-new) Hidden $22.1K 44,101 coins $125 249 coins 0.01x 2026-11-07 10:24 UTC [Sticker | keshandr (Gold) | Krakow 2017 sticker · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-keshandr-gold-krakow-2017) Hidden $22.1K 44,101 coins $3,915 7,830 coins 0.18x 2026-11-07 10:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $22.1K | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 34.0% legendary 7.5% remarkable 10.0% #EB4B4B 15.0% Knives 15.0% #eb4b4b 18.5% best hit $217K (9.85x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt