--- title: "Sharp Tool case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sharp Tool ($70.53) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 10 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sharp-tool rendered: 2026-11-11T14:15Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Sharp Tool](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sharp-tool) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Sharp Tool A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sharp-tool?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sharp-tool?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sharp-tool) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sharp-tool?window=all) Price · $70.53 · 141 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $63.48 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 100.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 94.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sharp-tool?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sharp-tool?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sharp-tool) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/sharp-tool?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 10,000 | $5,754 11,508 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $610 1,220 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $605 1,211 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · Knives](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $571 1,141 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $244 489 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $226 452 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $117 235 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $116 231 coins | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $65.14 130 coins | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 89.7% | $56.72 113 coins | 80.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=sharp-tool) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $70.53 | 90.00% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 94.2% Covert 0.2% Knives 0.1% sunny 0.5% rare 5.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. 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