--- title: "Shotgun case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Shotgun ($59.78) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 96.82% over 920 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shotgun rendered: 2026-11-11T19:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Shotgun](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shotgun) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Shotgun A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shotgun?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shotgun?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shotgun) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shotgun?window=all) Price · $59.78 · 120 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 96.82% · 920 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 616 openings · below min 7 days · 920 openings · below min 30 days · 920 openings · below min since tracking started · 920 openings · below min 42.0% 92.5% 143.0% **Small sample.** 920 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shotgun?window=24h) | 616 | 75.73% ±33.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shotgun?window=7d) | 920 | 96.82% ±45.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shotgun) | 920 | 96.82% ±45.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shotgun?window=all) | 920 | 96.82% ±45.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $59.78 120 coins $7,752 15,504 coins 129.7x 2026-11-10 12:10 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [piyeyooo](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/piyeyooo) $59.78 120 coins $7,335 14,669 coins 122.7x 2026-11-10 13:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $59.78 120 coins $1,979 3,958 coins 33.11x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $59.78 120 coins $1,979 3,958 coins 33.11x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $59.78 120 coins $1,979 3,958 coins 33.11x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $59.78 120 coins $1,979 3,958 coins 33.11x 2026-11-10 23:14 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) [piyeyooo](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/piyeyooo) $59.78 120 coins $1,979 3,958 coins 33.11x 2026-11-10 23:12 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $59.78 120 coins $1,979 3,958 coins 33.11x 2026-11-10 23:12 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $59.78 120 coins $1,979 3,958 coins 33.11x 2026-11-10 23:09 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $59.78 120 coins $1,979 3,958 coins 33.11x 2026-11-10 23:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=shotgun) [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) Hidden $59.78 120 coins $2.69 5.38 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) Hidden $59.78 120 coins $2.69 5.38 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) Hidden $59.78 120 coins $1,979 3,958 coins 33.11x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) Hidden $59.78 120 coins $2.69 5.38 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $59.78 120 coins $9.75 19.5 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $59.78 120 coins $16.76 33.52 coins 0.28x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) Hidden $59.78 120 coins $2.69 5.38 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-devourer-factory-new) [prudent](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/prudent) $59.78 120 coins $9.39 18.78 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:41 UTC [MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-praetorian-factory-new) Hidden $59.78 120 coins $2.70 5.39 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC [SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $59.78 120 coins $9.75 19.5 coins 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $7,752 (129.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 96.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $96.82 on average: an expected loss of $3.18 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt