--- title: "shrek swamp 25% case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "shrek swamp 25% ($5.00) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 104.14% over 1,206 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shrek-swamp-25 rendered: 2026-11-12T00:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [shrek swamp 25%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shrek-swamp-25) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · shrek swamp 25% A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shrek-swamp-25?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shrek-swamp-25?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shrek-swamp-25) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shrek-swamp-25?window=all) Price · $5.00 · 10 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 104.14% · 1,206 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 48 openings · below min 7 days · 826 openings · below min 30 days · 104.14% ±36.10 1,206 openings since tracking started · 104.14% ±36.10 1,206 openings 11.5% 150.8% 290.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shrek-swamp-25?window=24h) | 48 | 150.70% ±138.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shrek-swamp-25?window=7d) | 826 | 118.51% ±50.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shrek-swamp-25) | 1,206 | 104.14% ±36.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/shrek-swamp-25?window=all) | 1,206 | 104.14% ±36.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $491 981 coins 98.13x 2026-11-10 16:06 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $491 981 coins 98.13x 2026-11-10 15:57 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $491 981 coins 98.13x 2026-11-10 15:35 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $491 981 coins 98.13x 2026-11-09 19:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=shrek-swamp-25) [SG 553 | Integrale (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $11.68 23.36 coins 2.34x 2026-11-11 18:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:08 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 10 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:08 UTC [SCAR-20 | Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $9.75 19.5 coins 1.95x 2026-11-11 18:06 UTC [SG 553 | Integrale (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-field-tested) Hidden $5.00 10 coins $11.68 23.36 coins 2.34x 2026-11-11 18:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $491 (98.13x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 104.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $104.14 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt