--- title: "Silent Strike case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Silent Strike ($12.35) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 16 items with odds, observed 90.56% over 328 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/silent-strike rendered: 2026-11-11T13:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Silent Strike](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/silent-strike) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Silent Strike A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/silent-strike?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/silent-strike?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/silent-strike) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/silent-strike?window=all) Price · $12.35 · 24.7 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $11.11 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.56% · 328 openings, odds method Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 14.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 72.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 91.13% ±13.60 324 openings 30 days · 90.56% ±13.52 328 openings since tracking started · 90.56% ±13.52 328 openings 16.5% 117.3% 218.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/silent-strike?window=24h) | 6 | 117.18% ±100.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/silent-strike?window=7d) | 324 | 91.13% ±13.6 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/silent-strike) | 328 | 90.56% ±13.5 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/silent-strike?window=all) | 328 | 90.56% ±13.5 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 328 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $69.34 139 coins | 6.2% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.61× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $62.94 126 coins | 5.7% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.61× | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · #D32CE6](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-control-panel-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $60.91 122 coins | 5.5% | 4 | 3.3 | 1.22× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Stainless (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $52.51 105 coins | 4.7% | 4 | 3.3 | 1.22× | | [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $50.58 101 coins | 4.6% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.91× | | [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $39.94 79.87 coins | 10.8% | 9 | 9.8 | 0.91× | | [USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $34.64 69.27 coins | 9.3% | 10 | 9.8 | 1.02× | | [USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $33.81 67.61 coins | 9.1% | 13 | 9.8 | 1.32× | | [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $22.86 45.72 coins | 6.2% | 14 | 9.8 | 1.42× | | [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $22.82 45.63 coins | 6.2% | 5 | 9.8 | 0.51× | | [USP-S \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $19.52 39.04 coins | 5.3% | 10 | 9.8 | 1.02× | | [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $14.17 28.33 coins | 6.4% | 22 | 16.4 | 1.34× | | [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $11.22 22.44 coins | 5.0% | 15 | 16.4 | 0.91× | | [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $7.59 15.17 coins | 4.1% | 20 | 19.7 | 1.02× | | [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $4.88 9.76 coins | 2.6% | 20 | 19.7 | 1.02× | | [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) | 55.0% | $1.69 3.37 coins | 8.3% | 175 | 180.4 | 0.97× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=silent-strike) [MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) Hidden $12.35 24.7 coins $1.69 3.37 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) Hidden $12.35 24.7 coins $1.69 3.37 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [MP5-SD | Phosphor (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) Hidden $12.35 24.7 coins $1.69 3.37 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) Hidden $12.35 24.7 coins $14.17 28.33 coins 1.15x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [USP-S | Ancient Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-field-tested) Hidden $12.35 24.7 coins $33.81 67.61 coins 2.74x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [USP-S | Ancient Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-field-tested) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $12.35 24.7 coins $33.81 67.61 coins 2.74x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) Hidden $12.35 24.7 coins $14.17 28.33 coins 1.15x 2026-11-10 11:19 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) Hidden $12.35 24.7 coins $14.17 28.33 coins 1.15x 2026-11-10 11:19 UTC [M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $12.35 24.7 coins $4.88 9.76 coins 0.40x 2026-11-10 11:19 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) Hidden $12.35 24.7 coins $14.17 28.33 coins 1.15x 2026-11-10 11:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $12.35 | 89.99% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 13.0% classified 15.0% #D32CE6 1.0% Mil Spec Grade 1.0% industrial 3.0% Restricted 6.0% mil spec 6.0% Legendary 55.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt