--- title: "Skittles case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Skittles ($6.95) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.95% from 10 items with odds, observed 93.89% over 284 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/skittles rendered: 2026-11-11T17:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Skittles](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/skittles) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Skittles A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/skittles?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/skittles?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/skittles) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/skittles?window=all) Price · $6.95 · 13.9 coins Advertised RTP · 89.95% · EV $6.25 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.89% · 284 openings, odds method Variance · 5.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 93.30% ±27.89 250 openings 30 days · 93.89% ±26.17 284 openings since tracking started · 93.89% ±26.17 284 openings -0.5% 100.3% 201.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/skittles?window=24h) | 6 | 20.41% ±180.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/skittles?window=7d) | 250 | 93.30% ±27.9 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/skittles) | 284 | 93.89% ±26.2 | +0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/skittles?window=all) | 284 | 93.89% ±26.2 | +0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 284 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-cyber-security-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $85.93 172 coins | 13.7% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.06× | | [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $76.49 153 coins | 12.2% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.76× | | [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $75.78 152 coins | 12.1% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.41× | | [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $49.74 99.48 coins | 15.9% | 5 | 5.7 | 0.88× | | [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $42.09 84.17 coins | 13.5% | 3 | 5.7 | 0.53× | | [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $8.39 16.78 coins | 6.7% | 13 | 14.2 | 0.92× | | [MAC-10 \| Indigo (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-indigo-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $8.06 16.12 coins | 6.4% | 10 | 14.2 | 0.70× | | [P250 \| Muertos (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $3.21 6.41 coins | 5.1% | 28 | 28.4 | 0.99× | | [MP7 \| Tall Grass (Field-Tested) weapon · #d2d2d2](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-field-tested) | 10.0% | $2.10 4.19 coins | 3.4% | 25 | 28.4 | 0.88× | | [PP-Bizon \| Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) | 63.0% | $1.08 2.16 coins | 10.9% | 188 | 178.9 | 1.05× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=skittles) [PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) Hidden $6.95 13.9 coins $1.08 2.16 coins 0.16x 2026-11-10 19:30 UTC [PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) Hidden $6.95 13.9 coins $1.08 2.16 coins 0.16x 2026-11-10 19:30 UTC [PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) Hidden $6.95 13.9 coins $1.08 2.16 coins 0.16x 2026-11-10 19:30 UTC [MP7 | Tall Grass (Field-Tested) weapon · #d2d2d2](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-field-tested) Hidden $6.95 13.9 coins $2.10 4.19 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 19:30 UTC [MP7 | Tall Grass (Field-Tested) weapon · #d2d2d2](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-field-tested) Hidden $6.95 13.9 coins $2.10 4.19 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 19:30 UTC [PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) [pooop](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/pooop) $6.95 13.9 coins $1.08 2.16 coins 0.16x 2026-11-10 19:30 UTC [MAC-10 | Indigo (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-indigo-factory-new) Hidden $6.95 13.9 coins $8.06 16.12 coins 1.16x 2026-11-10 17:30 UTC [PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) Hidden $6.95 13.9 coins $1.08 2.16 coins 0.16x 2026-11-10 17:30 UTC [PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) Hidden $6.95 13.9 coins $1.08 2.16 coins 0.16x 2026-11-10 17:30 UTC [PP-Bizon | Blue Streak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-blue-streak-field-tested) Hidden $6.95 13.9 coins $1.08 2.16 coins 0.16x 2026-11-10 17:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $6.95 | 89.95% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Classified 1.0% #4b69ff 1.0% restricted 66.0% classified 12.0% blue 5.0% Common 5.0% #d2d2d2 10.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.95 on average: an expected loss of $10.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt