---
title: "Slots Jackpot case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Slots Jackpot ($88.09) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 13 items with odds, observed 121.98% over 20 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/slots-jackpot
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Slots Jackpot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/slots-jackpot)

# [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Slots Jackpot

A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/slots-jackpot?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/slots-jackpot?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/slots-jackpot) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/slots-jackpot?window=all)

Price · $88.09 · 176 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $79.28 from 13 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 121.98% · 20 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 50.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 20 openings · below min

30 days · 20 openings · below min

since tracking started · 20 openings · below min

42.0% 122.0% 202.0%

**Small sample.** 20 openings and 10.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/slots-jackpot?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/slots-jackpot?window=7d) | 20 | 121.98% ±79.4 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/slots-jackpot) | 20 | 121.98% ±79.4 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/slots-jackpot?window=all) | 20 | 121.98% ±79.4 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1,112 2,225 coins | 28.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $232 463 coins | 2.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $186 373 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $162 323 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $150 300 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $147 295 coins | 1.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $141 281 coins | 1.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $135 270 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $129 258 coins | 1.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $124 247 coins | 1.6% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $116 232 coins | 1.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 38.0% | $110 220 coins | 52.7% | 6 | 7.6 | 0.79× |
| [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 50.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 10 | 10.0 | 1.00× |

Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $88.09 176 coins $1,112 2,225 coins 12.63x 2026-11-10 12:32 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=slots-jackpot)

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $88.09 176 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 12:32 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) Hidden $88.09 176 coins $110 220 coins 1.25x 2026-11-10 12:32 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) Hidden $88.09 176 coins $110 220 coins 1.25x 2026-11-10 12:32 UTC

[★ Karambit | Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $88.09 176 coins $1,112 2,225 coins 12.63x 2026-11-10 12:32 UTC

[★ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) Hidden $88.09 176 coins $110 220 coins 1.25x 2026-11-10 12:32 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [prudent](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/prudent) $88.09 176 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 12:32 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) [prudent](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/prudent) $88.09 176 coins $129 258 coins 1.46x 2026-11-09 11:46 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $88.09 176 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 11:46 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $88.09 176 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 11:46 UTC

[P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $88.09 176 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-09 11:46 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $88.09 | 90.00% | 13 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 7.0% covert knife 4.0% #ffd700 1.0% Covert 38.0% consumer 50.0% best hit $1,112 (12.63x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
