--- title: "Smart buy case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Smart buy ($0.72) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 62.93% over 446 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/smart-buy rendered: 2026-11-13T05:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Smart buy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/smart-buy) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Smart buy A case on Chicken.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/smart-buy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/smart-buy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/smart-buy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/smart-buy?window=all) Price · $0.72 · 1.44 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 62.93% · 446 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 186 openings · below min 30 days · 446 openings · below min since tracking started · 446 openings · below min 2.0% 62.8% 123.5% **Small sample.** 446 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/smart-buy?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/smart-buy?window=7d) | 186 | 9.45% ±1.58 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/smart-buy) | 446 | 62.93% ±60.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/smart-buy?window=all) | 446 | 62.93% ±60.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Chicken.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) Hidden $0.72 1.44 coins $57.54 115 coins 79.91x 2026-11-03 12:23 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $0.72 1.44 coins $56.76 114 coins 78.83x 2026-11-09 00:02 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $0.72 1.44 coins $56.76 114 coins 78.83x 2026-11-03 16:04 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $0.72 1.44 coins $56.76 114 coins 78.83x 2026-11-03 12:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=smart-buy) [MP9 | Bioleak (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-field-tested) Hidden $0.72 1.44 coins $0.06 0.12 coins 0.08x 2026-11-12 00:03 UTC [Galil AR | Akoben (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-akoben-factory-new) Hidden $0.72 1.44 coins $0.37 0.74 coins 0.51x 2026-11-12 00:03 UTC [MP9 | Bioleak (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-field-tested) Hidden $0.72 1.44 coins $0.06 0.12 coins 0.08x 2026-11-12 00:03 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $0.72 1.44 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.06x 2026-11-12 00:03 UTC [AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $0.72 1.44 coins $0.04 0.08 coins 0.06x 2026-11-12 00:03 UTC [Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) Hidden $0.72 1.44 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.03x 2026-11-12 00:03 UTC [Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) Hidden $0.72 1.44 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.03x 2026-11-12 00:03 UTC [Galil AR | Akoben (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-akoben-factory-new) Hidden $0.72 1.44 coins $0.37 0.74 coins 0.51x 2026-11-12 00:03 UTC [MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-factory-new) Hidden $0.72 1.44 coins $0.16 0.32 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 18:14 UTC [Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) Hidden $0.72 1.44 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:14 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $57.54 (79.91x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 62.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $62.93 on average: an expected loss of $37.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt