--- title: "Snapped case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Snapped ($3.04) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.88% from 10 items with odds, observed 106.29% over 612 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/snapped rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Snapped](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/snapped) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Snapped A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/snapped?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/snapped?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/snapped) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/snapped?window=all) Price · $3.04 · 6.08 coins Advertised RTP · 89.88% · EV $2.73 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 106.29% · 612 openings, odds method Variance · 5.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 20 openings · below min 7 days · 102.27% ±24.72 322 openings 30 days · 106.29% ±17.93 612 openings since tracking started · 106.29% ±17.93 612 openings -0.5% 69.3% 139.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/snapped?window=24h) | 20 | 39.19% ±99.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/snapped?window=7d) | 322 | 102.27% ±24.7 | +1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/snapped) | 612 | 106.29% ±17.9 | +1.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/snapped?window=all) | 612 | 106.29% ±17.9 | +1.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 612 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $31.27 62.54 coins | 22.9% | 17 | 12.2 | 1.39× | | [P2000 \| Silver (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-silver-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $25.74 51.47 coins | 18.8% | 17 | 12.2 | 1.39× | | [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $22.78 45.56 coins | 16.7% | 18 | 12.2 | 1.47× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $19.18 38.36 coins | 14.0% | 10 | 12.2 | 0.82× | | [USP-S \| Stainless (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $13.42 26.84 coins | 9.8% | 11 | 12.2 | 0.90× | | [FAMAS \| Night Borre (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-night-borre-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $3.03 6.06 coins | 4.4% | 17 | 24.5 | 0.69× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Green Plaid (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-green-plaid-field-tested) | 10.0% | $1.56 3.11 coins | 5.7% | 50 | 61.2 | 0.82× | | [R8 Revolver \| Desert Brush (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-desert-brush-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.47 0.94 coins | 3.4% | 122 | 122.4 | 1.00× | | [UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-oscillator-factory-new) | 26.0% | $0.26 0.52 coins | 2.5% | 173 | 159.1 | 1.09× | | [SCAR-20 \| Assault (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-assault-factory-new) | 30.0% | $0.15 0.31 coins | 1.7% | 177 | 183.6 | 0.96× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=snapped) [R8 Revolver | Desert Brush (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-desert-brush-factory-new) Hidden $3.04 6.08 coins $0.47 0.94 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC [SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-assault-factory-new) Hidden $3.04 6.08 coins $0.15 0.31 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC [SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-assault-factory-new) Hidden $3.04 6.08 coins $0.15 0.31 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC [UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-oscillator-factory-new) Hidden $3.04 6.08 coins $0.26 0.52 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC [UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-oscillator-factory-new) Hidden $3.04 6.08 coins $0.26 0.52 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC [R8 Revolver | Desert Brush (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-desert-brush-factory-new) Hidden $3.04 6.08 coins $0.47 0.94 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC [UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-oscillator-factory-new) Hidden $3.04 6.08 coins $0.26 0.52 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Green Plaid (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-green-plaid-field-tested) Hidden $3.04 6.08 coins $1.56 3.11 coins 0.51x 2026-11-11 13:57 UTC [SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-assault-factory-new) Hidden $3.04 6.08 coins $0.15 0.31 coins 0.05x 2026-11-10 22:28 UTC [SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-assault-factory-new) Hidden $3.04 6.08 coins $0.15 0.31 coins 0.05x 2026-11-10 22:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3.04 | 89.88% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.0% mil spec 6.0% classified 2.0% Consumer Grade 14.0% Common 20.0% blue 26.0% Rare 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.88 on average: an expected loss of $10.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt