--- title: "Snorlax case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Snorlax ($307.43) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 8 items with odds, observed 111.56% over 1,056 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/snorlax rendered: 2026-11-11T17:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Snorlax](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/snorlax) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Snorlax A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/snorlax?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/snorlax?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/snorlax) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/snorlax?window=all) Price · $307.43 · 615 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $276.69 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 111.56% · 1,056 openings, odds method Variance · 60.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 77 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 118 openings · below min 7 days · 114.69% ±47.75 1,024 openings 30 days · 111.56% ±47.02 1,056 openings since tracking started · 111.56% ±47.02 1,056 openings -0.5% 107.8% 216.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/snorlax?window=24h) | 118 | 74.87% ±140.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/snorlax?window=7d) | 1,024 | 114.69% ±47.8 | +1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/snorlax) | 1,056 | 111.56% ±47.0 | +0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/snorlax?window=all) | 1,056 | 111.56% ±47.0 | +0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,056 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,429 | $73.5K 147,047 coins | 18.6% | 2 | 0.7 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 769 | $24.8K 49,625 coins | 11.7% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.46× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $9,925 19,850 coins | 17.9% | 5 | 5.3 | 0.95× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 167 | $8,079 16,159 coins | 17.5% | 5 | 6.3 | 0.79× | | [Sticker \| captainMo (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-captainmo-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 118 | $5,513 11,026 coins | 16.9% | 4 | 9.0 | 0.45× | | [Sticker \| suNny (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sunny-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 87 | $2,528 5,057 coins | 10.5% | 11 | 12.1 | 0.91× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 59 | $1,113 2,226 coins | 6.8% | 23 | 18.0 | 1.28× | | [G3SG1 \| VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) | 95.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 1,004 | 1003.2 | 1.00× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 14:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) [piyeyooo](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/piyeyooo) $307 615 coins $73.5K 147,047 coins 239.2x 2026-11-10 15:22 UTC [Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2014) Hidden $307 615 coins $73.5K 147,047 coins 239.2x 2026-11-08 15:55 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $307 615 coins $24.8K 49,625 coins 80.71x 2026-11-09 17:14 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) [Vinnie2524](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Vinnie2524) $307 615 coins $24.8K 49,625 coins 80.71x 2026-11-09 11:30 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $307 615 coins $9,925 19,850 coins 32.28x 2026-11-11 13:54 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $307 615 coins $9,925 19,850 coins 32.28x 2026-11-08 15:55 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $307 615 coins $9,925 19,850 coins 32.28x 2026-11-08 15:53 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $307 615 coins $9,925 19,850 coins 32.28x 2026-11-08 15:53 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $307 615 coins $9,925 19,850 coins 32.28x 2026-11-04 22:14 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $307 615 coins $8,079 16,159 coins 26.28x 2026-11-11 11:13 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=snorlax) [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $307 615 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:22 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $307 615 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:22 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $307 615 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:22 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $307 615 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:22 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $307 615 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:22 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) [eliboti](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/eliboti) $307 615 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:22 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $307 615 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:20 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $307 615 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:20 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $307 615 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:20 UTC [G3SG1 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-varicamo-field-tested) [eliboti](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/eliboti) $307 615 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $307 | 90.00% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.1% covert 1.2% extraordinary 2.6% Extraordinary 1.1% industrial 95.0% best hit $73.5K (239.2x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt