--- title: "Solomon's Reign case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Solomon's Reign ($21.41) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.98% from 10 items with odds, observed 47.34% over 340 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/solomons-reign rendered: 2026-11-11T13:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Solomon's Reign](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/solomons-reign) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Solomon's Reign A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/solomons-reign?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/solomons-reign?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/solomons-reign) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/solomons-reign?window=all) Price · $21.41 · 42.82 coins Advertised RTP · 89.98% · EV $19.27 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 47.34% · 340 openings, odds method Variance · 31.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 95 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 32 openings · below min 7 days · 324 openings · below min 30 days · 340 openings · below min since tracking started · 340 openings · below min -0.5% 118.3% 237.0% **Small sample.** 340 openings and 3.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/solomons-reign?window=24h) | 32 | 41.21% ±195.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/solomons-reign?window=7d) | 324 | 47.28% ±61.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/solomons-reign) | 340 | 47.34% ±59.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/solomons-reign?window=all) | 340 | 47.34% ±59.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 340 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,000 | $3,644 7,288 coins | 9.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $1,182 2,363 coins | 12.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 333 | $899 1,799 coins | 14.0% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.98× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $657 1,315 coins | 17.1% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.59× | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $253 506 coins | 13.1% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× | | [M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $71.01 142 coins | 11.1% | 7 | 10.2 | 0.69× | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $29.87 59.74 coins | 11.6% | 23 | 25.5 | 0.90× | | [P250 \| Gunsmoke (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-gunsmoke-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $19.17 38.33 coins | 7.5% | 20 | 25.5 | 0.78× | | [MP7 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) | 12.0% | $6.30 12.59 coins | 3.9% | 51 | 40.8 | 1.25× | | [P250 \| Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) | 68.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 237 | 231.0 | 1.03× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $21.41 42.82 coins $899 1,799 coins 42.01x 2026-11-10 12:22 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $21.41 42.82 coins $657 1,315 coins 30.70x 2026-11-10 00:52 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=solomons-reign) [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $21.41 42.82 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:52 UTC [USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $21.41 42.82 coins $29.87 59.74 coins 1.40x 2026-11-10 21:52 UTC [M4A4 | Jungle Tiger (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $21.41 42.82 coins $71.01 142 coins 3.32x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [MP7 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) Hidden $21.41 42.82 coins $6.30 12.59 coins 0.29x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [MP7 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) Hidden $21.41 42.82 coins $6.30 12.59 coins 0.29x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $21.41 42.82 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $21.41 42.82 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $21.41 42.82 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) Hidden $21.41 42.82 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [P250 | Gunsmoke (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-gunsmoke-factory-new) [Moon1025](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Moon1025) $21.41 42.82 coins $19.17 38.33 coins 0.90x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $21.41 | 89.98% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 9.3% restricted 12.2% industrial 10.5% consumer 68.0% best hit $899 (42.01x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.98 on average: an expected loss of $10.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt