--- title: "Speedy Buy case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Speedy Buy ($181.26) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.00% from 14 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/speedy-buy rendered: 2026-11-11T20:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Speedy Buy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/speedy-buy) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Speedy Buy A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/speedy-buy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/speedy-buy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/speedy-buy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/speedy-buy?window=all) Price · $181.26 · 363 coins Advertised RTP · 90.00% · EV $163.13 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 17.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 67.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/speedy-buy?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/speedy-buy?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/speedy-buy) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/speedy-buy?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,097 8,194 coins | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $2,012 4,025 coins | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 87 | $1,011 2,022 coins | 7.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $1,002 2,005 coins | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $602 1,204 coins | 12.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 20 | $451 903 coins | 13.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Classic Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $251 502 coins | 9.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $246 491 coins | 11.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $226 452 coins | 10.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $150 300 coins | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $110 221 coins | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Nitro (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-nitro-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $75.07 150 coins | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $45.11 90.22 coins | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 37.5% | $12.52 25.03 coins | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 20:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=speedy-buy) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $181 | 90.00% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 38.9% #EB4B4B 1.1% covert knife 15.0% restricted 7.5% mil spec 37.5% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.00 on average: an expected loss of $10.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt