--- title: "Spew case on Chicken.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Spew ($5.92) on Chicken.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.99% from 8 items with odds, observed 90.15% over 1,219 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spew rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) / [Spew](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spew) # [Chicken.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/chicken) · Spew A case on Chicken.gg (official), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Chicken.gg's own item price converted from Chicken coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spew?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spew?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spew) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spew?window=all) Price · $5.92 · 11.83 coins Advertised RTP · 89.99% · EV $5.32 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.15% · 1,219 openings, odds method Variance · 15.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 22.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 55.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 78.08% ±71.55 113 openings 7 days · 90.66% ±22.84 1,109 openings 30 days · 90.15% ±21.78 1,219 openings since tracking started · 90.15% ±21.78 1,219 openings 6.0% 78.3% 150.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spew?window=24h) | 113 | 78.08% ±71.5 | −0.3σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spew?window=7d) | 1,109 | 90.66% ±22.8 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spew) | 1,219 | 90.15% ±21.8 | +0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/chicken/spew?window=all) | 1,219 | 90.15% ±21.8 | +0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,219 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,885 3,771 coins | 3.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $545 1,090 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $419 837 coins | 3.9% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 22.0% | $11.22 22.44 coins | 46.4% | 272 | 268.2 | 1.01× | | [MP9 \| Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) | 22.0% | $10.64 21.27 coins | 44.0% | 284 | 268.2 | 1.06× | | [Five-SeveN \| Coolant (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-coolant-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.03 0.05 coins | 0.1% | 253 | 243.8 | 1.04× | | [Glock-18 \| Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 223 | 243.8 | 0.91× | | [FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) | 15.9% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 186 | 194.1 | 0.96× | Values are Chicken.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `chicken:cases/get-cases`, 11 Nov, 08:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Moto Gloves | Transport (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-factory-new) [JimmyV](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/JimmyV) $5.92 11.83 coins $419 837 coins 70.79x 2026-11-08 18:28 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=chicken&case=spew) [MP9 | Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) Hidden $5.92 11.83 coins $10.64 21.27 coins 1.80x 2026-11-11 11:22 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $5.92 11.83 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:22 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $5.92 11.83 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:22 UTC [Five-SeveN | Coolant (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-coolant-factory-new) Hidden $5.92 11.83 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 11:22 UTC [MP9 | Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) Hidden $5.92 11.83 coins $10.64 21.27 coins 1.80x 2026-11-11 11:22 UTC [MP9 | Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) [Villemesk23](https://gambatracker.com/players/chicken/Villemesk23) $5.92 11.83 coins $10.64 21.27 coins 1.80x 2026-11-11 11:22 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) Hidden $5.92 11.83 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:41 UTC [USP-S | Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) Hidden $5.92 11.83 coins $11.22 22.44 coins 1.90x 2026-11-11 09:41 UTC [FAMAS | Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) Hidden $5.92 11.83 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:41 UTC [Glock-18 | Death Rattle (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-death-rattle-field-tested) Hidden $5.92 11.83 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 09:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $5.92 | 89.99% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed epic 0.0% extraordinary 0.1% classified 44.0% consumer 20.0% industrial 20.0% #4b69ff 15.9% best hit $419 (70.79x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.99 on average: an expected loss of $10.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt